Friendlies · Mar 31, 2026 09:00
Equatorial Guinea
PWR 47
Madagascar
PWR 88
Equatorial Guinea
PWR 47
1 - 1
FT
Madagascar
PWR 88
27%
29%
44%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Equatorial Guinea to win (83% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
83%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
1-2 (9%)0-2 (8%)1-3 (8%)1-1 (8%)0-3 (7%)0-1 (7%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.69x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.58x
Over 2.5
65%
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 62%
Over 3.5
38%
Team Comparison
21Attack100
79Defense65
Goals/G
0.63.5
Conc/G
0.61.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Equatorial Gui…
WLLLL
STABLE
Madagascar
WWLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Friendlies
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Equatorial Gui…vs
2.45
MadagascarGoal Probability
Equatorial …
0
33%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Madagascar
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
CORRECT SCORES
0-2 (11%)0-1 (10%)1-2 (10%)0-3 (9%)1-1 (9%)1-3 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 61% | 40% | - |
| 3.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 4.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#52
Equatorial …+27
Gap#79
Madagascar
WR 40% 8 pts
WR 100% 6 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equatorial Gu… | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 |
| Madagascar | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
Equatorial Gui…
4.0%
| Mar 25 | Equator… v Kyrgyzs… | 0-1 |
| Dec 31 | Equator… v Algeria | 1-3 |
| Dec 28 | Equator… v Sudan | 0-1 |
| Dec 24 | Equator… v Burkina… | 2-1 |
| Nov 17 | Equator… v Madagas… | 2-0 |
| Nov 14 | Equator… v Kenya | 0-1 |
| Oct 13 | Equator… v Algeria | 1-1 |
| Oct 09 | Equator… v Mali | 3-0 |
| Sep 08 | Equator… v Tunisia | 0-1 |
| Sep 04 | Equator… v Sao Tom… | 2-3 |
Madagascar
16.0%
| Mar 28 | Madagas… v Kyrgyzs… | 2-5 |
| Nov 17 | Madagas… v Equator… | 2-0 |
| Oct 12 | Madagas… v Mali | 4-1 |
| Oct 08 | Madagas… v Comoros | 1-2 |
| Sep 08 | Madagas… v Chad | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 17, 2025 | Madagascar | 2-0 | Equatorial Gu… |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
50%
Market
38%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Madagascar in strong form (4W in last 5)
Equatorial Guinea struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.