Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Mar 31, 2026 13:00
Burundi
PWR 100
Chad
PWR 0
Burundi
PWR 100
1 - 0
FT
Chad
PWR 0
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 4.0/g, Away concedes 4.0/g, expected 4.0 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Burundi Win
Score
8-0
Confidence
50%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (13%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)0-0 (7%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
87%
Home/Draw
1.21x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.83x
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS
No 45%
Over 3.5
21%
Team Comparison
100Attack0
100Defense0
Goals/G
4.00.0
Conc/G
0.04.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Burundi
WLLLL
STABLE
Chad
LDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Elevated draw risk (23.9%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got STANDARD/2 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Burundivs
0.77
ChadGoal Probability
Burundi
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Chad
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (17%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (10%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 3.5 | 21% | 80% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Burundi+13
Gap#20
Chad
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burundi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| Chad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Burundi
4.0%
| Mar 27 | Burundi v Chad | 0-4 |
| Oct 14 | Burundi v Gabon | 2-0 |
| Oct 09 | Burundi v Kenya | 0-1 |
| Sep 09 | Burundi v Zambia | 2-0 |
| Sep 05 | Burundi v Ivory C… | 1-0 |
Chad
2.0%
| Mar 27 | Chad v Burundi | 0-4 |
| Nov 17 | Chad v Mozambi… | 2-2 |
| Nov 14 | Chad v Granada | 2-1 |
| Oct 12 | Chad v Central… | 2-3 |
| Oct 08 | Chad v Mali | 0-2 |
| Sep 08 | Chad v Madagas… | 3-1 |
| Sep 04 | Chad v Granada | 1-1 |
| Jun 10 | Chad v Kenya | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Mar 27, 2026 | Chad | 0-4 | Burundi |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
50%
Market
65%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Burundi struggling (4L in last 5)
Chad struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.