Ýokary Liga · Apr 05, 2026 15:00
Arkadag
PWR 90
PWR 90
7-0
predicted
Merw
PWR 20
PWR 20
61%
22%
17%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 3.9/g, Away concedes 1.9/g, expected 3.6 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Arkadag Win
Score
7-0
Confidence
72%
TierPREMIUM
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (9%)1-0 (4%)3-1 (3%)2-1 (2%)1-1 (1%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS
No
No 22%
Over 3.5
63%
63%
Team Comparison
100Attack19
74Defense32
Goals/G
3.90.6
Conc/G
0.71.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Arkadag
LLWWW
DOWN
Merw
DLLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy77%
FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (23.6%) - consider AHPREMIUM with draw risk (24%) - skip
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Arkadagvs
0.25
MerwGoal Probability
Arkadag
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Merw
0
78%
1
20%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (14%)4-0 (14%)5-0 (11%)2-0 (11%)1-0 (5%)3-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 81% | 20% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 4.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 5.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Arkadag+8
Gap#9
Merw
WR 95% 118 pts
WR 8% 17 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkadag | 41 | 39 | 1 | 1 | 159 | 30 | 118 |
| Merw | 38 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 21 | 74 | 17 |
Arkadag
12.0%
| Feb 18 | Arkadag v Al-Nassr | 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | Arkadag v Al-Nassr | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Arkadag v Neftchi | 1-2 |
| Dec 24 | Arkadag v Al Khal… | 1-0 |
| Dec 14 | Arkadag v Balkan | 4-1 |
| Dec 11 | Arkadag v Aşgabat | 0-1 |
| Dec 07 | Arkadag v Altyn A… | 2-0 |
| Dec 04 | Arkadag v Köpetda… | 0-3 |
| Nov 30 | Arkadag v Merw | 4-1 |
| Nov 26 | Arkadag v Andijan | 1-1 |
Merw
2.0%
| Mar 18 | Merw v Ahal | 0-0 |
| Dec 15 | Merw v Altyn A… | 3-2 |
| Dec 11 | Merw v Ahal | 0-2 |
| Dec 04 | Merw v Ahal | 4-0 |
| Nov 30 | Merw v Arkadag | 4-1 |
| Nov 08 | Merw v Balkan | 1-2 |
| Oct 30 | Merw v Aşgabat | 2-1 |
| Oct 26 | Merw v Köpetda… | 2-2 |
| Oct 17 | Merw v Şagadam | 2-0 |
| Sep 22 | Merw v Köpetda… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Nov 30, 2025 | Arkadag | 4-1 | Merw |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Merw | 1-3 | Arkadag |
| May 29, 2025 | Merw | 0-2 | Arkadag |
| Apr 02, 2025 | Arkadag | 7-0 | Merw |
Decision Breakdown
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Arkadag in strong form (3W in last 5)
Merw struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.