Serie B · Apr 01, 2026 22:00
Sport Recife
PWR 35
Vila Nova
PWR 35
Sport Recife
PWR 35
VS
Vila Nova
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sport Recife Win
Score
?
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (14%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)0-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.32x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.19x
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
No 43%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sport Recife
WWDLD
STABLE
Vila Nova
WLDDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/6 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Sport Recifevs
0.71
Vila NovaGoal Probability
Sport Recife
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Vila Nova
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 2.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
Sport Recife-3
Gap#10
Vila Nova
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Sport Recife
12.0%
| Mar 29 | Sport R… v ABC | 0-1 |
| Mar 25 | Sport R… v Jataien… | 2-1 |
| Mar 21 | Sport R… v Cuiabá | 0-0 |
| Mar 18 | Sport R… v Athleti… | 1-3 |
| Mar 13 | Sport R… v Anápolis | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Sport R… v Nautico… | 0-3 |
| Mar 05 | Sport R… v Desport… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Sport R… v Nautico… | 3-3 |
| Feb 21 | Sport R… v Retrô F… | 3-2 |
| Feb 12 | Sport R… v Retrô F… | 0-1 |
Vila Nova
10.0%
| Mar 28 | Vila No… v Operári… | 6-0 |
| Mar 24 | Vila No… v Rio Bra… | 1-0 |
| Mar 21 | Vila No… v CRB | 2-2 |
| Mar 18 | Vila No… v Confian… | 0-0 |
| Mar 12 | Vila No… v Operári… | 1-1 |
| Mar 04 | Vila No… v Velo Cl… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Vila No… v Athleti… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Vila No… v Athleti… | 2-0 |
| Feb 16 | Vila No… v Anápolis | 2-2 |
| Feb 13 | Vila No… v Anápolis | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Aug 17, 2024 | Vila Nova | 2-0 | Sport Recife |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Sport Recife | 2-0 | Vila Nova |
| Aug 03, 2023 | Vila Nova | 0-1 | Sport Recife |
| Jun 18, 2023 | Sport Recife | 1-0 | Vila Nova |
| Nov 06, 2022 | Vila Nova | 0-0 | Sport Recife |
| Jul 18, 2022 | Sport Recife | 0-0 | Vila Nova |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
82%
Standings
44%
Market
57%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.