Serie B · Apr 01, 2026 22:00
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 48
Nautico Recife
PWR 35
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 48
2-1
predicted
Nautico Recife
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Athletico Paranaense Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
63%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.37x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.97x
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
Yes 59%
Over 3.5
32%
Team Comparison
42Attack0
61Defense100
Goals/G
1.20.0
Conc/G
1.10.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Athletico Para…
LWWWL
STABLE
Nautico Recife
LLDWW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Full data available (Tier 1)Elevated draw risk (23.9%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got GOLD/3 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Athletico Para…vs
1.07
Nautico RecifeGoal Probability
Athletico P…
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Nautico Rec…
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-2 (9%)0-1 (9%)1-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)0-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 3.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Athletico P…+39
Gap#40
Nautico Rec…
WR 40% 118 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico Par… | 80 | 32 | 22 | 26 | 97 | 89 | 118 |
| Nautico Recife | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Athletico Para…
12.0%
| Mar 29 | Athleti… v Porto V… | 3-2 |
| Mar 29 | Athleti… v Botafogo | 4-1 |
| Mar 26 | Athleti… v Anápolis | 1-0 |
| Mar 22 | Athleti… v Corinth… | 2-0 |
| Mar 21 | Athleti… v Operári… | 1-0 |
| Mar 21 | Athleti… v Piauí | 0-0 |
| Mar 18 | Athleti… v Cruzeiro | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Athleti… v Goiás | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Athleti… v Flumine… | 3-2 |
| Mar 07 | Athleti… v Santos | 2-1 |
Nautico Recife
10.0%
| Mar 22 | Nautico… v Criciúma | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Nautico… v Sport R… | 0-3 |
| Mar 01 | Nautico… v Sport R… | 3-3 |
| Feb 22 | Nautico… v Santa C… | 2-0 |
| Feb 11 | Nautico… v Santa C… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Nautico… v Acadêmi… | 2-3 |
| Jan 28 | Nautico… v Retrô F… | 0-1 |
| Jan 25 | Nautico… v Santa C… | 0-4 |
| Jan 22 | Nautico… v Jaguaré | 0-4 |
| Jan 18 | Nautico… v Sport R… | 4-0 |
Decision Breakdown
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
82%
Standings
50%
Market
52%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Athletico Paranaense in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.