Serie B · Apr 02, 2026 00:00
Ponte Preta
PWR 35
Ceará
PWR 35
Ponte Preta
PWR 35
VS
Ceará
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Ponte Preta Win
Score
?
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (17%)0-0 (17%)1-1 (13%)1-0 (13%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.9x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.4x
Over 2.5
27%
Under 2.5
73%
73%
BTTS
No
No 35%
Over 3.5
17%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ponte Preta
LWLLL
STABLE
Ceará
LDDDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/4 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Ponte Pretavs
1.02
CearáGoal Probability
Ponte Preta
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Ceará
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (20%)0-2 (17%)0-0 (12%)0-3 (9%)1-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 2.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 3.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#17
Ponte Preta-5
Gap#12
Ceará
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Ponte Preta
4.0%
| Mar 22 | Ponte P… v Athleti… | 2-1 |
| Mar 11 | Ponte P… v GuaranĂ… | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Ponte P… v São Pau… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Ponte P… v Portugu… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Ponte P… v GuaranĂ… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Ponte P… v Oeste | 2-2 |
| Jan 22 | Ponte P… v São Ber… | 0-1 |
| Jan 17 | Ponte P… v Capivar… | 2-0 |
| Jan 15 | Ponte P… v Velo Cl… | 0-1 |
| Jan 11 | Ponte P… v Corinth… | 3-0 |
Ceará
10.0%
| Mar 28 | Ceará v Retrô F… | 3-1 |
| Mar 25 | Ceará v ABC | 1-1 |
| Mar 21 | Ceará v São Ber… | 1-1 |
| Mar 17 | Ceará v São Ber… | 0-0 |
| Mar 12 | Ceará v Maranhã… | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Ceará v Fortale… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Ceará v Fortale… | 1-1 |
| Feb 26 | Ceará v Primave… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Ceará v Floresta | 4-0 |
| Feb 15 | Ceará v Floresta | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Oct 12, 2024 | Ceará | 1-0 | Ponte Preta |
| Jun 26, 2024 | Ponte Preta | 3-1 | Ceará |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Ceará | 1-1 | Ponte Preta |
| May 07, 2023 | Ponte Preta | 0-0 | Ceará |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
40%
Market
35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ponte Preta struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.