Serie B · Apr 02, 2026 00:30
Criciúma
PWR 35
Athletic Club
PWR 35
Criciúma
PWR 35
0-1
predicted
Athletic Club
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Athletic Club to win (55% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-2 (5%)3-3 (4%)3-1 (4%)2-2 (3%)2-3 (3%)2-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
83%
Home/Draw
1.27x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.35x
Over 2.5
68%
68%
Under 2.5
32%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 90%
Over 3.5
34%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Criciúma
WWLWW
STABLE
Athletic Club
WWWDD
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.21
Criciúmavs
2.49
Athletic ClubGoal Probability
Criciúma
0
2%
1
6%
2
13%
3
19%
4
19%
Athletic Cl…
0
8%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (10%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (6%)3-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 3.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Criciúma-2
Gap#5
Athletic Cl…
WR 0% 3 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
Criciúma
16.0%
| Mar 22 | Criciúma v Nautico… | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Criciúma v Camboriú | 3-2 |
| Mar 04 | Criciúma v Camboriú | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Criciúma v Brusque | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Criciúma v Concórd… | 4-0 |
| Feb 12 | Criciúma v Concórd… | 2-2 |
| Feb 08 | Criciúma v Chapeco… | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Criciúma v Chapeco… | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | Criciúma v Brusque | 3-3 |
| Jan 23 | Criciúma v Camboriú | 1-2 |
Athletic Club
16.0%
| Mar 22 | Athleti… v Ponte P… | 2-1 |
| Mar 18 | Athleti… v Sport R… | 1-3 |
| Mar 11 | Athleti… v Ypirang… | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Athleti… v Tombense | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Athleti… v Atletic… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Athleti… v Uberlân… | 0-3 |
| Jan 25 | Athleti… v Betim | 1-1 |
| Jan 21 | Athleti… v Pouso A… | 3-4 |
| Jan 17 | Athleti… v Democra… | 0-0 |
| Jan 14 | Athleti… v Uniao T… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 19, 2025 | Athletic Club | 1-1 | Criciúma |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Criciúma | 4-0 | Athletic Club |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
90%
Standings
46%
Market
59%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Criciúma in strong form (4W in last 5)
Athletic Club in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.