Serie B · Apr 04, 2026 19:00
Fortaleza
PWR 35
Juventude
PWR 35
Fortaleza
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Juventude
PWR 35
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (16%)1-0 (13%)3-0 (12%)2-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)3-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
BTTS
No 36%
Over 3.5
17%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Fortaleza
DWWLW
STABLE
Juventude
DLWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.35
Fortalezavs
0.51
JuventudeGoal Probability
Fortaleza
0
10%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Juventude
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (14%)1-0 (13%)0-1 (12%)0-0 (12%)2-1 (7%)2-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 2.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 3.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#16
Fortaleza-1
Gap#15
Juventude
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Fortaleza
14.0%
| Mar 31 | Fortale… v Cuiabá | 0-0 |
| Mar 28 | Fortale… v Imperat… | 2-1 |
| Mar 25 | Fortale… v Ferrovi… | 0-1 |
| Mar 21 | Fortale… v Botafogo | 4-0 |
| Mar 17 | Fortale… v Nova Ig… | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Fortale… v Ceará | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Fortale… v Ceará | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Fortale… v Vitoria | 4-1 |
| Feb 25 | Fortale… v Maguary… | 4-3 |
| Feb 23 | Fortale… v Vitoria | 1-1 |
Juventude
6.0%
| Mar 31 | Juventu… v Novoriz… | 0-0 |
| Mar 29 | Juventu… v Novoriz… | 0-2 |
| Mar 28 | Juventu… v Sertãoz… | 0-2 |
| Mar 25 | Juventu… v Sampaio… | 2-0 |
| Mar 22 | Juventu… v Avaí | 2-0 |
| Mar 22 | Juventu… v Sertãoz… | 2-1 |
| Mar 19 | Juventu… v Águia d… | 3-0 |
| Mar 18 | Juventu… v São Jos… | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Juventu… v Ferrovi… | 2-1 |
| Mar 13 | Juventu… v Tuna Lu… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 05, 2025 | Juventude | 1-2 | Fortaleza |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Fortaleza | 5-0 | Juventude |
| May 10, 2025 | Fortaleza | 5-0 | Juventude |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
91%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Fortaleza in strong form (3W in last 5)
Juventude struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.