Serie B · Apr 04, 2026 21:00

Nautico Recife
PWR 35
VS

Ponte Preta
PWR 35
53% 23% 24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Nautico Recife Win
Score
?
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (19%)3-0 (18%)1-0 (13%)0-0 (4%)2-1 (4%)3-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS No
No 17%
Over 3.5
47%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Nautico Recife LLDWW
DOWN
Ponte Preta LWLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
FORM_DOMINANT
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.94
Nautico Recife
vs
0.20
Ponte Preta
Goal Probability
Nautico Rec…
0
5%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
17%
Ponte Preta
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (15%)2-0 (14%)4-0 (11%)1-0 (9%)5-0 (7%)3-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 97% 3% OVER
1.5 87% 13% OVER
2.5 68% 32% OVER
3.5 47% 53% -
4.5 28% 72% UNDER
5.5 15% 86% UNDER
6.5 7% 93% UNDER
League Position
#19
Nautico Rec…
-2
Gap
#17
Ponte Preta
WR 0% 0 pts WR 0% 0 pts
Nautico Recife 10.0%
Mar 22 Nautico… v Criciúma 0-1
Mar 08 Nautico… v Sport R… 0-3
Mar 01 Nautico… v Sport R… 3-3
Feb 22 Nautico… v Santa C… 2-0
Feb 11 Nautico… v Santa C… 0-1
Jan 31 Nautico… v Acadêmi… 2-3
Jan 28 Nautico… v Retrô F… 0-1
Jan 25 Nautico… v Santa C… 0-4
Jan 22 Nautico… v Jaguaré 0-4
Jan 18 Nautico… v Sport R… 4-0
Ponte Preta 4.0%
Mar 22 Ponte P… v Athleti… 2-1
Mar 11 Ponte P… v Guaraní… 1-0
Feb 15 Ponte P… v São Pau… 1-2
Feb 07 Ponte P… v Portugu… 2-0
Jan 31 Ponte P… v Guaraní… 1-0
Jan 24 Ponte P… v Oeste 2-2
Jan 22 Ponte P… v São Ber… 0-1
Jan 17 Ponte P… v Capivar… 2-0
Jan 15 Ponte P… v Velo Cl… 0-1
Jan 11 Ponte P… v Corinth… 3-0
Head-to-Head (3)
Sep 27, 2025 Ponte Preta 1-1 Nautico Recife
Sep 20, 2025 Nautico Recife 0-1 Ponte Preta
May 24, 2025 Nautico Recife 0-1 Ponte Preta
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Ponte Preta struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.