Serie B · Apr 04, 2026 23:00
Vila Nova
PWR 35
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 48
Vila Nova
PWR 35
1-2
predicted
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 48
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Athletico Paranaense Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (11%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (5%)1-0 (4%)1-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
No 44%
Over 3.5
15%
Team Comparison
0Attack42
100Defense61
Goals/G
0.01.2
Conc/G
0.01.1
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Vila Nova
WLDDD
STABLE
Athletico Para…
LWWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 100% at home = very high riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 125% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.8%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
3.93
Vila Novavs
0.59
Athletico Para…Goal Probability
Vila Nova
0
2%
1
8%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Athletico P…
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (16%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 2.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Vila Nova-9
Gap#1
Athletico P…
WR 32% 79 pts
WR 40% 118 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova | 63 | 20 | 19 | 24 | 65 | 70 | 79 |
| Athletico Par… | 80 | 32 | 22 | 26 | 97 | 89 | 118 |
Vila Nova
10.0%
| Mar 28 | Vila No… v Operári… | 6-0 |
| Mar 24 | Vila No… v Rio Bra… | 1-0 |
| Mar 21 | Vila No… v CRB | 2-2 |
| Mar 18 | Vila No… v Confian… | 0-0 |
| Mar 12 | Vila No… v Operári… | 1-1 |
| Mar 04 | Vila No… v Velo Cl… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Vila No… v Athleti… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Vila No… v Athleti… | 2-0 |
| Feb 16 | Vila No… v Anápolis | 2-2 |
| Feb 13 | Vila No… v Anápolis | 0-2 |
Athletico Para…
12.0%
| Mar 29 | Athleti… v Porto V… | 3-2 |
| Mar 29 | Athleti… v Botafogo | 4-1 |
| Mar 26 | Athleti… v Anápolis | 1-0 |
| Mar 22 | Athleti… v Corinth… | 2-0 |
| Mar 21 | Athleti… v Operári… | 1-0 |
| Mar 21 | Athleti… v Piauí | 0-0 |
| Mar 18 | Athleti… v Cruzeiro | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Athleti… v Goiás | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Athleti… v Flumine… | 3-2 |
| Mar 07 | Athleti… v Santos | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 01, 2026 | Vila Nova | 0-0 | Athletico Par… |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Athletico Par… | 2-0 | Vila Nova |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Vila Nova | 1-2 | Athletico Par… |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Athletico Par… | 1-0 | Vila Nova |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Athletico Par… | 2-0 | Vila Nova |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Vila Nova | 1-0 | Athletico Par… |
| May 17, 2025 | Vila Nova | 2-1 | Athletico Par… |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Athletico Par… | 1-3 | Vila Nova |
| Apr 07, 2024 | Athletico Par… | 3-1 | Vila Nova |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Vila Nova | 0-2 | Athletico Par… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Athletico Paranaense in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.