Serie B · Apr 05, 2026 23:30
Botafogo
PWR 44
São Bernardo
PWR 35
Botafogo
PWR 44
2-1
predicted
São Bernardo
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Botafogo Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (7%)2-2 (7%)3-1 (5%)3-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
72%
72%
Under 2.5
28%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 74%
Over 3.5
35%
Team Comparison
33Attack0
59Defense100
Goals/G
1.00.0
Conc/G
1.20.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Botafogo
DLWWD
STABLE
São Bernardo
DWLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 2/3 draws (67%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Botafogovs
1.90
São BernardoGoal Probability
Botafogo
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
São Bernardo
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)2-1 (8%)0-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 3.5 | 35% | 65% | - |
| 4.5 | 19% | 82% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Botafogo+34
Gap#39
São Bernardo
WR 38% 93 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | 68 | 26 | 15 | 27 | 65 | 80 | 93 |
| São Bernardo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Botafogo
12.0%
| Mar 29 | Botafogo v ASA | 2-2 |
| Mar 29 | Botafogo v Athleti… | 4-1 |
| Mar 25 | Botafogo v Vitoria | 1-2 |
| Mar 21 | Botafogo v Fortale… | 4-0 |
| Mar 21 | Botafogo v Sousa | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | Botafogo v RB Brag… | 1-2 |
| Mar 18 | Botafogo v Palmeir… | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Botafogo v Sousa | 1-2 |
| Mar 14 | Botafogo v Flamengo | 0-3 |
| Mar 11 | Botafogo v Barcelo… | 0-1 |
São Bernardo
10.0%
| Mar 29 | São Ber… v Sampaio… | 2-2 |
| Mar 28 | São Ber… v MarcÃli… | 2-0 |
| Mar 26 | São Ber… v Chapeco… | 2-1 |
| Mar 21 | São Ber… v Ceará | 1-1 |
| Mar 21 | São Ber… v União S… | 2-2 |
| Mar 17 | São Ber… v Ceará | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | São Ber… v Portugu… | 0-3 |
| Mar 11 | São Ber… v Bandeir… | 2-2 |
| Mar 10 | São Ber… v Joinvil… | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | São Ber… v Jataien… | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jul 07, 2025 | Botafogo | 1-1 | São Bernardo |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Botafogo | 0-0 | São Bernardo |
| Sep 14, 2024 | São Bernardo | 1-0 | Botafogo |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.