Ligue 1 · Apr 03, 2026 16:30
Jaraaf
PWR 35
Jaraaf
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Guediawaye FC
PWR 35
PWR 35
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Jaraaf Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (26%)0-0 (19%)0-2 (18%)0-3 (8%)1-1 (8%)1-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
23%
Under 2.5
77%
77%
BTTS
No
No 19%
Over 3.5
1%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Jaraaf
DWLLD
STABLE
Guediawaye FC
DWWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 70% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (32.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Jaraafvs
1.37
Guediawaye FCGoal Probability
Jaraaf
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Guediawaye …
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (42%)0-1 (22%)1-0 (15%)1-1 (8%)0-2 (6%)2-0 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 59% | 42% | - |
| 1.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Jaraaf+3
Gap#11
Guediawaye …
WR 20% 25 pts
WR 30% 22 pts
Jaraaf
8.0%
| Mar 29 | Jaraaf v Teungue… | 0-0 |
| Mar 25 | Jaraaf v Stade d… | 0-2 |
| Mar 15 | Jaraaf v Wally D… | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Jaraaf v AJEL | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Jaraaf v Ouakam | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Jaraaf v HLM | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | Jaraaf v As Camb… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Jaraaf v Casa Sp… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Jaraaf v DSC | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Jaraaf v Pikine | 0-1 |
Guediawaye FC
16.0%
| Mar 29 | Guediaw… v Pikine | 0-0 |
| Mar 26 | Guediaw… v Sonacos | 0-3 |
| Mar 17 | Guediaw… v Générat… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | Guediaw… v La Ling… | 1-3 |
| Mar 01 | Guediaw… v Gorée | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Guediaw… v DSC | 3-0 |
| Feb 14 | Guediaw… v Teungue… | 0-0 |
| Feb 08 | Guediaw… v Stade d… | 0-0 |
| Feb 02 | Guediaw… v Wally D… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Guediaw… v AJEL | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Dec 14, 2025 | Guediawaye FC | 1-2 | Jaraaf |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
52%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Guediawaye FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.