Ligue 1 · Apr 06, 2026 16:30
Stade de Mbour
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
As Camberene
PWR 35
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Stade de Mbour to win (60% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
60%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (45%)0-1 (22%)1-0 (14%)1-1 (7%)0-2 (5%)2-0 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
5%
Under 2.5
95%
95%
BTTS
No
No 10%
Over 3.5
1%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Stade de Mbour
DLDWD
STABLE
As Camberene
DDLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 64% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateAway team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesAway draws 55% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 118% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Stade de Mbourvs
0.49
As CambereneGoal Probability
Stade de Mb…
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
As Camberene
0
61%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (45%)1-0 (21%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (7%)2-0 (5%)0-2 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 1.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
Stade de Mb…+4
Gap#16
As Camberene
WR 9% 22 pts
WR 0% 16 pts
Stade de Mbour
10.0%
| Mar 29 | Stade d… v Casa Sp… | 1-1 |
| Mar 25 | Stade d… v Jaraaf | 0-2 |
| Mar 15 | Stade d… v Pikine | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Stade d… v Sonacos | 0-2 |
| Mar 01 | Stade d… v Générat… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Stade d… v La Ling… | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Stade d… v Gorée | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Stade d… v Guediaw… | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Stade d… v Teungue… | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Stade d… v DSC | 0-0 |
As Camberene
8.0%
| Mar 30 | As Camb… v Wally D… | 0-0 |
| Mar 25 | As Camb… v AJEL | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | As Camb… v Ouakam | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | As Camb… v HLM | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | As Camb… v DSC | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | As Camb… v Casa Sp… | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | As Camb… v Jaraaf | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | As Camb… v Pikine | 1-0 |
| Feb 02 | As Camb… v Sonacos | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | As Camb… v Générat… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Dec 14, 2025 | As Camberene | 2-1 | Stade de Mbour |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
59%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.