Ligue 2 · Apr 04, 2026 13:30
Stade Tunisien
PWR 52
EGS Gafsa
PWR 35
Stade Tunisien
PWR 52
1-0
predicted
EGS Gafsa
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Stade Tunisien to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (14%)2-0 (14%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (6%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
No
No 34%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
45Attack0
67Defense100
Goals/G
1.30.0
Conc/G
1.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Stade Tunisien
WDDWL
STABLE
EGS Gafsa
WLLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
3.08
Stade Tunisienvs
0.44
EGS GafsaGoal Probability
Stade Tunis…
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
EGS Gafsa
0
64%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (20%)2-0 (14%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (8%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 2.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Stade Tunis…+17
Gap#19
EGS Gafsa
WR 43% 68 pts
WR 36% 34 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Tunisien | 44 | 19 | 11 | 14 | 56 | 42 | 68 |
| EGS Gafsa | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 26 | 34 |
Stade Tunisien
12.0%
| Mar 29 | Stade T… v Boucham… | 1-2 |
| Mar 22 | Stade T… v AS Soli… | 2-2 |
| Mar 08 | Stade T… v Étoile … | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Stade T… v AS Marsa | 0-4 |
| Feb 27 | Stade T… v EO Sidi… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Stade T… v Ariana | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Stade T… v ES Tunis | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Stade T… v Jendoub… | 2-0 |
| Feb 13 | Stade T… v Olympiq… | 3-2 |
| Feb 01 | Stade T… v ES Metl… | 0-0 |
EGS Gafsa
8.0%
| Mar 28 | EGS Gaf… v Djelma | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | EGS Gaf… v Progrès… | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | EGS Gaf… v Kasseri… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | EGS Gaf… v Kalaâ S… | 4-1 |
| Jan 31 | EGS Gaf… v Moknine | 3-0 |
| Jan 24 | EGS Gaf… v Korba | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | EGS Gaf… v Boucham… | 1-0 |
| Jan 10 | EGS Gaf… v Menzel … | 1-2 |
| Dec 14 | EGS Gaf… v EO Sidi… | 0-1 |
| Dec 07 | EGS Gaf… v Ariana | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 08, 2025 | EGS Gafsa | 1-0 | Stade Tunisien |
Decision Breakdown
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
EGS Gafsa struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.