Ligue 2 · Apr 05, 2026 13:30
AS Gabes
PWR 30
AS Gabes
PWR 30
1-1
predicted
EM Mahdia
PWR 35
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (38%)1-0 (29%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (8%)1-1 (6%)3-0 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
7%
Under 2.5
93%
93%
BTTS
No
No 10%
Over 3.5
3%
Team Comparison
24Attack0
45Defense100
Goals/G
0.70.0
Conc/G
1.60.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
AS Gabes
LLLLW
DOWN
EM Mahdia
DLWDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskAway draws 50% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
AS Gabesvs
0.20
EM MahdiaGoal Probability
AS Gabes
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
EM Mahdia
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (31%)1-0 (20%)0-1 (16%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (7%)0-2 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#25
AS Gabes-17
Gap#8
EM Mahdia
WR 19% 26 pts
WR 34% 55 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Gabes | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 22 | 50 | 26 |
| EM Mahdia | 44 | 15 | 10 | 19 | 42 | 50 | 55 |
AS Gabes
4.0%
| Mar 29 | AS Gabes v CS Hamm… | 1-0 |
| Mar 22 | AS Gabes v ES Metl… | 5-2 |
| Mar 06 | AS Gabes v Jeuness… | 0-2 |
| Mar 01 | AS Gabes v CS Sfax… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | AS Gabes v Kerkenn… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | AS Gabes v Menzel … | 1-1 |
| Feb 16 | AS Gabes v US Tata… | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | AS Gabes v Club At… | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | AS Gabes v ES Zarz… | 0-1 |
| Feb 02 | AS Gabes v MĂ©grine | 1-2 |
EM Mahdia
10.0%
| Mar 29 | EM Mahd… v Sfax Ra… | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | EM Mahd… v M'saken | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | EM Mahd… v Bouselem | 1-0 |
| Feb 16 | EM Mahd… v Baath B… | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | EM Mahd… v Sportin… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | EM Mahd… v ES Hamm… | 0-3 |
| Jan 18 | EM Mahd… v CS Hamm… | 0-1 |
| Jan 11 | EM Mahd… v Kasseri… | 1-1 |
| Dec 13 | EM Mahd… v Kerkenn… | 1-0 |
| Dec 06 | EM Mahd… v Menzel … | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 07, 2025 | EM Mahdia | 1-0 | AS Gabes |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
AS Gabes struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.