Première Division · Apr 03, 2026 18:45
Derby Academie
PWR 35
PWR 35
0-1
predicted
US Bougouba
PWR 35
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Derby Academie Win
Score
0-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (27%)0-0 (25%)0-2 (15%)1-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)0-3 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%
83%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
2%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Derby Academie
WLDDD
STABLE
US Bougouba
LWWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 62% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesAway draws 43% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 105% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (33.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Derby Academievs
1.10
US BougoubaGoal Probability
Derby Acade…
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
US Bougouba
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (34%)1-0 (23%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Derby Acade…-2
Gap#8
US Bougouba
WR 0% 16 pts
WR 43% 20 pts
Derby Academie
10.0%
| Mar 17 | Derby A… v Bakarid… | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Derby A… v Djoliba… | 0-2 |
| Mar 02 | Derby A… v USFAS B… | 0-0 |
| Feb 06 | Derby A… v Afrique… | 1-1 |
| Jan 30 | Derby A… v Mali Co… | 1-1 |
| Jan 26 | Derby A… v ASKO | 0-0 |
| Jan 21 | Derby A… v Bougouni | 0-0 |
| Jan 16 | Derby A… v Réal Ba… | 0-1 |
| Jan 10 | Derby A… v Onze Cr… | 0-1 |
| Jan 02 | Derby A… v Diarra | 1-1 |
US Bougouba
10.0%
| Mar 18 | US Boug… v Djoliba… | 1-3 |
| Mar 07 | US Boug… v Afrique… | 0-1 |
| Feb 27 | US Boug… v ASKO | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | US Boug… v Réal Ba… | 1-2 |
| Jan 30 | US Boug… v Diarra | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | US Boug… v Binga | 0-3 |
| Jan 20 | US Boug… v Bakarid… | 1-1 |
| Jan 15 | US Boug… v USFAS B… | 2-2 |
| Jan 11 | US Boug… v Mali Co… | 0-2 |
| Jan 02 | US Boug… v Bougouni | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Dec 12, 2025 | US Bougouba | 0-0 | Derby Academie |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
39%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.