Première Division · Apr 04, 2026 16:45
USFAS Bamako
PWR 35
Diarra
PWR 35
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
USFAS Bamako
PWR 35
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Diarra Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (11%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
Yes 51%
Over 3.5
6%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Diarra
DWWWD
STABLE
USFAS Bamako
DLDLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Diarravs
0.88
USFAS BamakoGoal Probability
Diarra
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
USFAS Bamako
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (23%)1-0 (23%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (11%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 2.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Diarra+1
Gap#5
USFAS Bamako
WR 71% 31 pts
WR 38% 23 pts
Diarra
16.0%
| Mar 29 | Diarra v Stade M… | 0-0 |
| Mar 18 | Diarra v Mali Co… | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Diarra v Bougouni | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Diarra v Onze Cr… | 0-3 |
| Feb 22 | Diarra v Djoliba… | 0-0 |
| Jan 30 | Diarra v US Boug… | 0-0 |
| Jan 21 | Diarra v Afrique… | 4-0 |
| Jan 15 | Diarra v ASKO | 1-2 |
| Jan 10 | Diarra v Réal Ba… | 0-2 |
| Jan 02 | Diarra v Derby A… | 1-1 |
USFAS Bamako
8.0%
| Mar 18 | USFAS B… v Binga | 0-0 |
| Mar 06 | USFAS B… v Bakarid… | 3-2 |
| Mar 02 | USFAS B… v Derby A… | 0-0 |
| Feb 19 | USFAS B… v Stade M… | 0-1 |
| Feb 06 | USFAS B… v Mali Co… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | USFAS B… v Bougouni | 3-0 |
| Jan 24 | USFAS B… v Onze Cr… | 1-0 |
| Jan 15 | USFAS B… v US Boug… | 2-2 |
| Jan 10 | USFAS B… v Djoliba… | 0-1 |
| Jan 03 | USFAS B… v Afrique… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Dec 13, 2025 | USFAS Bamako | 2-1 | Diarra |
| May 10, 2025 | USFAS Bamako | 0-0 | Diarra |
| Jan 15, 2025 | Diarra | 0-2 | USFAS Bamako |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
62%
Market
50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Diarra in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.