Première Division · Apr 05, 2026 16:45
Djoliba AC
PWR 35
Stade Malien Bamako
PWR 35
Djoliba AC
PWR 35
2-0
predicted
Stade Malien Bamako
PWR 35
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Djoliba AC Win
Score
2-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (18%)2-0 (18%)1-0 (12%)0-0 (4%)3-1 (4%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
8%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Djoliba AC
DWWDW
STABLE
Stade Malien B…
DWLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 50% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (33.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.07
Djoliba ACvs
0.20
Stade Malien B…Goal Probability
Djoliba AC
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Stade Malie…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (27%)0-0 (20%)2-0 (18%)3-0 (8%)1-1 (7%)0-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 2.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Djoliba AC+5
Gap#6
Stade Malie…
WR 63% 36 pts
WR 33% 22 pts
Djoliba AC
16.0%
| Mar 29 | Djoliba… v ASKO | 0-0 |
| Mar 18 | Djoliba… v US Boug… | 1-3 |
| Mar 08 | Djoliba… v Derby A… | 0-2 |
| Mar 04 | Djoliba… v Réal Ba… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Djoliba… v Afrique… | 4-0 |
| Feb 22 | Djoliba… v Diarra | 0-0 |
| Feb 18 | Djoliba… v Binga | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Djoliba… v San-Péd… | 4-0 |
| Feb 08 | Djoliba… v Olympiq… | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Djoliba… v MC Alger | 0-0 |
Stade Malien B…
6.0%
| Mar 29 | Stade M… v Diarra | 0-0 |
| Mar 22 | Stade M… v Mamelod… | 2-0 |
| Mar 13 | Stade M… v Mamelod… | 3-0 |
| Mar 04 | Stade M… v Binga | 4-0 |
| Mar 01 | Stade M… v Réal Ba… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Stade M… v Bakarid… | 0-0 |
| Feb 19 | Stade M… v USFAS B… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Stade M… v Simba | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Stade M… v ES Tunis | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Stade M… v Petro d… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 14, 2025 | Stade Malien … | 1-0 | Djoliba AC |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Djoliba AC | 1-3 | Stade Malien … |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Stade Malien … | 0-1 | Djoliba AC |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Djoliba AC | 2-1 | Stade Malien … |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Stade Malien … | 1-0 | Djoliba AC |
| May 21, 2023 | Stade Malien … | 0-0 | Djoliba AC |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Djoliba AC | 1-0 | Stade Malien … |
| May 29, 2022 | Stade Malien … | 0-2 | Djoliba AC |
| Jan 02, 2022 | Djoliba AC | 1-1 | Stade Malien … |
| Jul 18, 2021 | Stade Malien … | 0-0 | Djoliba AC |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Djoliba AC in strong form (3W in last 5)
Stade Malien Bamako struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.