Torneo Federal A · Apr 05, 2026 20:00
Independiente de Chivilcoy
PWR 44
Independiente de Chivilcoy
PWR 44
1-1
predicted
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
PWR 50
PWR 50
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (8%)3-1 (6%)2-0 (6%)2-1 (4%)1-0 (2%)3-2 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
Yes 50%
Over 3.5
23%
Team Comparison
35Attack37
66Defense71
Goals/G
1.01.1
Conc/G
1.00.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Independiente …
LWLWD
STABLE
Gimnasia Chivi…
DLLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Torneo Federal A
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Independiente …vs
0.71
Gimnasia Chivi…Goal Probability
Independien…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Gimnasia Ch…
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (9%)2-0 (9%)0-0 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#21
Independien…-16
Gap#5
Gimnasia Ch…
WR 28% 40 pts
WR 42% 59 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente… | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 40 |
| Gimnasia Chiv… | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 59 |
Independiente …
10.0%
| Mar 29 | Indepen… v 9 de Ju… | 3-2 |
| Mar 22 | Indepen… v Atletic… | 2-1 |
| Oct 11 | Indepen… v Douglas… | 1-0 |
| Oct 05 | Indepen… v Douglas… | 4-2 |
| Sep 13 | Indepen… v Juventu… | 0-0 |
| Sep 01 | Indepen… v Douglas… | 2-0 |
| Aug 23 | Indepen… v Atletic… | 1-0 |
| Aug 16 | Indepen… v Sportiv… | 2-3 |
| Aug 10 | Indepen… v San Mar… | 3-1 |
| Aug 03 | Indepen… v Gimnasi… | 1-1 |
Gimnasia Chivi…
10.0%
| Mar 29 | Gimnasi… v Sportiv… | 0-0 |
| Mar 22 | Gimnasi… v Douglas… | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Gimnasi… v Boca Ju… | 2-0 |
| Nov 16 | Gimnasi… v 9 de Ju… | 1-2 |
| Nov 09 | Gimnasi… v 9 de Ju… | 1-0 |
| Nov 02 | Gimnasi… v Juventu… | 2-1 |
| Oct 18 | Gimnasi… v Juventu… | 0-0 |
| Oct 12 | Gimnasi… v El Linq… | 2-1 |
| Oct 05 | Gimnasi… v El Linq… | 1-1 |
| Sep 28 | Gimnasi… v Argenti… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Aug 03, 2025 | Independiente… | 1-1 | Gimnasia Chiv… |
| May 18, 2025 | Independiente… | 0-0 | Gimnasia Chiv… |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Gimnasia Chiv… | 1-0 | Independiente… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.