Premiership · Apr 04, 2026 14:00
Ballymena United
PWR 35
Bangor
PWR 35
Ballymena United
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Bangor
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
Yes 55%
Over 3.5
41%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ballymena Unit…
DWDLD
STABLE
Bangor
WLDLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 3% = 35.1% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Ballymena Unit…vs
0.97
BangorGoal Probability
Ballymena U…
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Bangor
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (10%)2-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 3.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Ballymena U…-2
Gap#2
Bangor
WR 27% 34 pts
WR 30% 36 pts
Ballymena Unit…
10.0%
| Mar 21 | Ballyme… v Clifton… | 2-2 |
| Mar 14 | Ballyme… v Carrick… | 2-1 |
| Mar 07 | Ballyme… v Portado… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Ballyme… v Larne | 0-2 |
| Feb 24 | Ballyme… v Glentor… | 2-2 |
| Feb 20 | Ballyme… v Colerai… | 1-0 |
| Feb 17 | Ballyme… v Crusade… | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Ballyme… v Glentor… | 2-1 |
| Feb 03 | Ballyme… v Larne | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Ballyme… v Linfield | 2-1 |
Bangor
8.0%
| Mar 21 | Bangor v Dungann… | 0-1 |
| Mar 10 | Bangor v Glentor… | 0-4 |
| Feb 28 | Bangor v Carrick… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Bangor v Glentor… | 1-3 |
| Feb 14 | Bangor v Crusade… | 2-2 |
| Feb 10 | Bangor v Clifton… | 3-1 |
| Feb 03 | Bangor v Carrick… | 3-2 |
| Jan 31 | Bangor v Colerai… | 0-2 |
| Jan 23 | Bangor v Larne | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Bangor v Portado… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Dec 30, 2025 | Bangor | 2-0 | Ballymena Uni… |
| Nov 08, 2025 | Bangor | 2-3 | Ballymena Uni… |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Ballymena Uni… | 4-0 | Bangor |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
82%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.