First League · Apr 03, 2026 14:30
Chelyabinsk
PWR 35
Chernomorets
PWR 35
Chelyabinsk
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Chernomorets
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Chelyabinsk Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (15%)3-0 (12%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
No 38%
Over 3.5
40%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Chelyabinsk
LLDDW
DOWN
Chernomorets
LLDWL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 42% at home = very high riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 80% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.51
Chelyabinskvs
0.54
ChernomoretsGoal Probability
Chelyabinsk
0
8%
1
20%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Chernomorets
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (9%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 3.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 4.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Chelyabinsk+8
Gap#15
Chernomorets
WR 50% 37 pts
WR 8% 28 pts
Chelyabinsk
8.0%
| Mar 29 | Chelyab… v Chayka | 2-1 |
| Mar 23 | Chelyab… v Torpedo… | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | Chelyab… v Volga U… | 2-2 |
| Mar 07 | Chelyab… v Spartak… | 3-3 |
| Feb 28 | Chelyab… v FK Soko… | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | Chelyab… v Zenit 2 | 2-1 |
| Feb 05 | Chelyab… v Baltika | 0-2 |
| Feb 01 | Chelyab… v Sogdiana | 0-1 |
| Nov 30 | Chelyab… v Fakel V… | 2-0 |
| Nov 24 | Chelyab… v Rotor V… | 0-2 |
Chernomorets
6.0%
| Mar 29 | Chernom… v Rotor V… | 1-4 |
| Mar 21 | Chernom… v KAMAZ | 3-1 |
| Mar 14 | Chernom… v Fakel V… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Chernom… v SKA Kha… | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | Chernom… v Torpedo… | 0-2 |
| Feb 14 | Chernom… v Rotor V… | 5-0 |
| Feb 04 | Chernom… v Urozhay | 1-4 |
| Nov 28 | Chernom… v Shinnik… | 2-1 |
| Nov 22 | Chernom… v Arsenal… | 1-1 |
| Nov 15 | Chernom… v Volga U… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 25, 2025 | Chernomorets | 0-0 | Chelyabinsk |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
76%
Market
50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Chernomorets struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.