First League · Apr 05, 2026 13:00
Arsenal Tula
PWR 35
Fakel Voronezh
PWR 35
Arsenal Tula
PWR 35
2-2
predicted
Fakel Voronezh
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Arsenal Tula Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (32%)1-0 (30%)2-0 (14%)0-1 (6%)1-1 (6%)3-0 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
11%
Under 2.5
89%
89%
BTTS
No
No 11%
Over 3.5
11%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Arsenal Tula
WWLLL
STABLE
Fakel Voronezh
DLDWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 54% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 70% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Arsenal Tulavs
0.20
Fakel VoronezhGoal Probability
Arsenal Tula
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Fakel Voron…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (17%)0-0 (17%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (13%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 2.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Arsenal Tula-8
Gap#1
Fakel Voron…
WR 23% 35 pts
WR 50% 53 pts
Arsenal Tula
8.0%
| Mar 29 | Arsenal… v FK Soko… | 3-1 |
| Mar 22 | Arsenal… v SKA Kha… | 1-3 |
| Mar 15 | Arsenal… v Ural | 2-0 |
| Mar 09 | Arsenal… v Volga U… | 0-1 |
| Mar 05 | Arsenal… v Lokomot… | 1-2 |
| Feb 27 | Arsenal… v KAMAZ | 1-1 |
| Nov 30 | Arsenal… v FK Neft… | 0-0 |
| Nov 25 | Arsenal… v Rubin | 0-0 |
| Nov 22 | Arsenal… v Chernom… | 1-1 |
| Nov 16 | Arsenal… v FC UFA | 1-2 |
Fakel Voronezh
8.0%
| Mar 28 | Fakel V… v KAMAZ | 0-0 |
| Mar 20 | Fakel V… v Rotor V… | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Fakel V… v Chernom… | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Fakel V… v Ural | 1-0 |
| Feb 19 | Fakel V… v Sogdiana | 0-1 |
| Feb 12 | Fakel V… v Baltika | 1-0 |
| Feb 12 | Fakel V… v Zhetysu | 5-1 |
| Feb 05 | Fakel V… v PFC Soc… | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Fakel V… v Sloga D… | 1-0 |
| Jan 27 | Fakel V… v Qizilqum | 3-3 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 30, 2025 | Fakel Voronezh | 2-3 | Arsenal Tula |
| Sep 08, 2025 | Fakel Voronezh | 1-0 | Arsenal Tula |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
34%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Arsenal Tula struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.