Back Stats
Persha Liga · Apr 03, 2026 14:00
Livyi Bereh
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Yarud Mariupol'
PWR 35
37% 27% 36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Livyi Bereh Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (11%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (6%)3-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
BTTS
Yes 52%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Livyi Bereh WLDDL
STABLE
Yarud Mariupol' DWDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 30% at home = very high riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 60% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Livyi Bereh
vs
0.96
Yarud Mariupol'
Goal Probability
Livyi Bereh
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Yarud Mariu…
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (16%)0-0 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 84% 16% OVER
1.5 56% 45% -
2.5 29% 72% UNDER
3.5 12% 88% UNDER
4.5 4% 96% UNDER
5.5 1% 99% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#3
Livyi Bereh
+9
Gap
#12
Yarud Mariu…
WR 60% 40 pts WR 20% 20 pts
Livyi Bereh 8.0%
Mar 30 Livyi B… v Rebel 1-3
Mar 29 Livyi B… v Chernih… 4-0
Mar 22 Livyi B… v Chornom… 1-1
Mar 21 Livyi B… v Prykarp… 0-0
Nov 28 Livyi B… v Lokomot… 0-2
Nov 28 Livyi B… v Viktori… 3-0
Nov 23 Livyi B… v Oleksan… 0-0
Nov 23 Livyi B… v Probiy … 0-2
Nov 17 Livyi B… v Ahrobiz… 4-1
Nov 16 Livyi B… v Penuel 1-1
Yarud Mariupol' 14.0%
Mar 28 Yarud M… v Chornom… 1-1
Mar 21 Yarud M… v Chernih… 1-4
Mar 18 Yarud M… v Chernih… 0-0
Jan 28 Yarud M… v Rukh Vy… 0-2
Nov 30 Yarud M… v UCSA 1-1
Nov 23 Yarud M… v Prykarp… 3-0
Nov 16 Yarud M… v SK Polt… 2-0
Nov 08 Yarud M… v Viktori… 1-2
Nov 04 Yarud M… v Podilly… 0-1
Oct 25 Yarud M… v Probiy … 0-0
Head-to-Head (1)
Sep 11, 2025 Yarud Mariupo… 1-0 Livyi Bereh
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
78%
Market
50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.