1. Liga · Apr 04, 2026 11:00
Skanste
PWR 35
Mārupe
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Skanste
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Mārupe to win (83% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
83%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (16%)3-0 (13%)1-0 (13%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (6%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS
No 35%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Mārupe
WLLLW
STABLE
Skanste
LWWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): 1. Lig
Expected Goals (xG)
2.47
Mārupevs
0.49
SkansteGoal Probability
Mārupe
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Skanste
0
61%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)2-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Mārupe+8
Gap#11
Skanste
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
Mārupe
8.0%
| Mar 22 | Mārupe v Rēzekne… | 4-0 |
| Feb 20 | Mārupe v Laagri | 4-0 |
| Nov 08 | Mārupe v Ogre Un… | 0-1 |
| Nov 01 | Mārupe v JFK Ven… | 1-0 |
| Oct 25 | Mārupe v Progres… | 5-1 |
| Oct 19 | Mārupe v Leevon … | 0-0 |
| Oct 05 | Mārupe v Rēzekne… | 2-1 |
| Sep 28 | Mārupe v Skanste | 0-1 |
| Sep 20 | Mārupe v Riga FC… | 1-0 |
| Sep 14 | Mārupe v JDFS Al… | 2-1 |
Skanste
10.0%
| Mar 22 | Skanste v Leevon … | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Skanste v Elva | 1-3 |
| Nov 08 | Skanste v Tukums … | 6-2 |
| Nov 01 | Skanste v Ogre Un… | 3-0 |
| Oct 25 | Skanste v JFK Ven… | 0-0 |
| Oct 18 | Skanste v Progres… | 3-0 |
| Oct 04 | Skanste v Leevon … | 1-1 |
| Sep 28 | Skanste v Mārupe | 0-1 |
| Sep 21 | Skanste v Rēzekne… | 1-2 |
| Sep 12 | Skanste v Riga FC… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Sep 28, 2025 | Mārupe | 0-1 | Skanste |
| May 17, 2025 | Skanste | 1-0 | Mārupe |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
76%
Market
50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Mārupe struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.