1. Liga · Apr 04, 2026 14:00
JFK Ventspils
PWR 35
Tukums II
PWR 35
JFK Ventspils
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Tukums II
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: JFK Ventspils to win (78% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
78%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)0-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 60%
Over 3.5
62%
62%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
JFK Ventspils
DLLWD
STABLE
Tukums II
LLWLD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): 1. Lig
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
JFK Ventspilsvs
1.62
Tukums IIGoal Probability
JFK Ventspi…
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Tukums II
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)1-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 4.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 5.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
JFK Ventspi…+5
Gap#13
Tukums II
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
JFK Ventspils
8.0%
| Mar 28 | JFK Ven… v Smiltene | 3-3 |
| Mar 21 | JFK Ven… v Riga Ma… | 0-1 |
| Nov 08 | JFK Ven… v Leevon … | 3-2 |
| Nov 01 | JFK Ven… v Mārupe | 1-0 |
| Oct 25 | JFK Ven… v Skanste | 0-0 |
| Oct 19 | JFK Ven… v Riga FC… | 2-2 |
| Oct 05 | JFK Ven… v JDFS Al… | 2-0 |
| Sep 27 | JFK Ven… v Rīgas F… | 0-2 |
| Sep 20 | JFK Ven… v Smiltene | 2-2 |
| Sep 13 | JFK Ven… v Riga Ma… | 1-2 |
Tukums II
6.0%
| Mar 21 | Tukums … v Metta /… | 1-3 |
| Nov 08 | Tukums … v Skanste | 6-2 |
| Nov 01 | Tukums … v Riga FC… | 2-1 |
| Oct 25 | Tukums … v JDFS Al… | 4-3 |
| Oct 20 | Tukums … v Rīgas F… | 2-2 |
| Oct 05 | Tukums … v Smiltene | 0-3 |
| Sep 26 | Tukums … v Riga Ma… | 0-4 |
| Sep 21 | Tukums … v Augšdau… | 0-1 |
| Sep 13 | Tukums … v Rēzekne… | 1-2 |
| Aug 31 | Tukums … v Ogre Un… | 0-7 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 22, 2025 | JFK Ventspils | 4-1 | Tukums II |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Tukums II | 1-3 | JFK Ventspils |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
58%
Market
50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Tukums II struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.