Paulista - A3 · Apr 04, 2026 22:30
Marcílio Dias
PWR 57
São Bernardo
PWR 55
Marcílio Dias
PWR 57
1-0
predicted
São Bernardo
PWR 55
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Marcílio Dias to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (20%)1-0 (17%)3-0 (16%)0-0 (7%)2-1 (5%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS
No
No 20%
Over 3.5
17%
Team Comparison
49Attack47
71Defense71
Goals/G
1.41.4
Conc/G
0.80.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Marcílio Dias
LWLWW
STABLE
São Bernardo
DWLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Paulista
Expected Goals (xG)
2.44
Marcílio Diasvs
0.25
São BernardoGoal Probability
Marcílio Di…
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
São Bernardo
0
78%
1
20%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (17%)2-0 (12%)0-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 2.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 3.5 | 17% | 84% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Marcílio Di…+1
Gap#2
São Bernardo
WR 50% 90 pts
WR 44% 79 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcílio Dias | 50 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 70 | 41 | 90 |
| São Bernardo | 48 | 21 | 16 | 11 | 65 | 40 | 79 |
Marcílio Dias
12.0%
| Mar 28 | Marcíli… v São Ber… | 2-0 |
| Mar 21 | Marcíli… v Maracan… | 2-0 |
| Mar 15 | Marcíli… v XV de J… | 1-0 |
| Mar 11 | Marcíli… v USAC | 2-0 |
| Mar 07 | Marcíli… v Rio Bra… | 0-2 |
| Mar 06 | Marcíli… v Joinvil… | 2-0 |
| Mar 04 | Marcíli… v Rio Cla… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Marcíli… v Desport… | 2-0 |
| Feb 26 | Marcíli… v Carlos … | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Marcíli… v Catandu… | 1-1 |
São Bernardo
10.0%
| Mar 29 | São Ber… v Sampaio… | 2-2 |
| Mar 28 | São Ber… v Marcíli… | 2-0 |
| Mar 26 | São Ber… v Chapeco… | 2-1 |
| Mar 21 | São Ber… v Ceará | 1-1 |
| Mar 21 | São Ber… v União S… | 2-2 |
| Mar 17 | São Ber… v Ceará | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | São Ber… v Portugu… | 0-3 |
| Mar 11 | São Ber… v Bandeir… | 2-2 |
| Mar 10 | São Ber… v Joinvil… | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | São Ber… v Jataien… | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 28, 2026 | São Bernardo | 2-0 | Marcílio Dias |
| Jan 24, 2026 | São Bernardo | 1-1 | Marcílio Dias |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Marcílio Dias | 3-1 | São Bernardo |
| Mar 08, 2024 | São Bernardo | 2-2 | Marcílio Dias |
| Apr 12, 2023 | São Bernardo | 0-0 | Marcílio Dias |
| Mar 29, 2023 | Marcílio Dias | 1-2 | São Bernardo |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Marcílio Dias | 1-0 | São Bernardo |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Marcílio Dias | 1-0 | São Bernardo |
| Apr 02, 2022 | São Bernardo | 2-0 | Marcílio Dias |
| Feb 26, 2022 | São Bernardo | 1-1 | Marcílio Dias |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Marcílio Dias in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.