Copa Centro-Oeste · Apr 07, 2026 23:30
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 50
Cuiabá
PWR 29
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 50
2-0
predicted
Cuiabá
PWR 29
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Under 2.5
Goals · Low scoring expected: 1.8 total goals avg
80%
accuracy
1.7x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Athletico Paranaense Win
Score
2-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (28%)2-0 (20%)0-0 (19%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (6%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
23%
Under 2.5
77%
77%
BTTS
No
No 14%
Over 3.5
5%
Team Comparison
53Attack0
48Defense83
Goals/G
1.50.0
Conc/G
1.50.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Athletico Para…
LWWWL
STABLE
Cuiabá
DLDDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/5 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Athletico Para…vs
0.20
CuiabáGoal Probability
Athletico P…
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Cuiabá
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (25%)1-0 (24%)2-0 (12%)0-1 (11%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 2.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Athletico P…+3
Gap#10
Cuiabá
WR 50% 3 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico Par… | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Cuiabá | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Athletico Para…
12.0%
| Mar 29 | Athleti… v Porto V… | 3-2 |
| Mar 29 | Athleti… v Botafogo | 4-1 |
| Mar 26 | Athleti… v Anápolis | 1-0 |
| Mar 22 | Athleti… v Corinth… | 2-0 |
| Mar 21 | Athleti… v Operári… | 1-0 |
| Mar 21 | Athleti… v Piauà | 0-0 |
| Mar 18 | Athleti… v Cruzeiro | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Athleti… v Goiás | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Athleti… v Flumine… | 3-2 |
| Mar 07 | Athleti… v Santos | 2-1 |
Cuiabá
8.0%
| Mar 31 | Cuiabá v Fortale… | 0-0 |
| Mar 28 | Cuiabá v Gama | 1-0 |
| Mar 25 | Cuiabá v Tocanti… | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | Cuiabá v Sport R… | 0-0 |
| Mar 04 | Cuiabá v Santa C… | 1-1 |
| Feb 12 | Cuiabá v Sport S… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Cuiabá v Operári… | 0-1 |
| Feb 05 | Cuiabá v Primave… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Cuiabá v Nova Mu… | 2-1 |
| Jan 27 | Cuiabá v União R… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Aug 24, 2025 | Cuiabá | 2-2 | Athletico Par… |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Athletico Par… | 1-1 | Cuiabá |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Athletico Par… | 1-1 | Cuiabá |
| Apr 15, 2025 | Cuiabá | 2-1 | Athletico Par… |
| Dec 07, 2023 | Cuiabá | 3-0 | Athletico Par… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Athletico Paranaense in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.