Primera División - Apertura · Apr 05, 2026 18:30
Cerrito
PWR 43
Defensor Sporting
PWR 35
Cerrito
PWR 43
1-1
predicted
Defensor Sporting
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (28%)0-0 (25%)2-0 (15%)1-1 (8%)0-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%
83%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
4%
Team Comparison
28Attack0
67Defense100
Goals/G
0.80.0
Conc/G
0.90.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Cerrito
DLWWL
STABLE
Defensor Sport…
DDWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Apertura
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Cerritovs
0.28
Defensor Sport…Goal Probability
Cerrito
0
33%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Defensor Sp…
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (29%)0-1 (21%)1-0 (15%)1-1 (11%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 36% | 65% | - |
| 2.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Cerrito-4
Gap#3
Defensor Sp…
WR 33% 48 pts
WR 42% 70 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerrito | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 31 | 37 | 48 |
| Defensor Spor… | 43 | 18 | 16 | 9 | 54 | 37 | 70 |
Cerrito
10.0%
| Mar 29 | Cerrito v Tacuare… | 1-1 |
| Mar 28 | Cerrito v Wandere… | 3-0 |
| Mar 25 | Cerrito v Juventud | 1-0 |
| Mar 21 | Cerrito v Atenas | 3-1 |
| Mar 21 | Cerrito v Peñarol… | 3-1 |
| Mar 14 | Cerrito v Progreso | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Cerrito v Racing … | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | Cerrito v Boston … | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Cerrito v Peñarol… | 1-1 |
| Feb 16 | Cerrito v Albion … | 3-0 |
Defensor Sport…
10.0%
| Mar 31 | Defenso… v Albion … | 1-1 |
| Mar 26 | Defenso… v Danubio | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | Defenso… v Club Na… | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Defenso… v Deporti… | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | Defenso… v Central… | 0-0 |
| Mar 03 | Defenso… v Atletic… | 1-0 |
| Feb 26 | Defenso… v Atletic… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Defenso… v Cerro L… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Defenso… v Peñarol… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Defenso… v Wandere… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 11, 2025 | Cerrito | 1-0 | Defensor Spor… |
| Nov 08, 2024 | Cerrito | 0-0 | Defensor Spor… |
| Nov 15, 2023 | Cerrito | 1-1 | Defensor Spor… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.