J1 League · Apr 05, 2026 06:00
FC Tokyo
PWR 35
Machida Zelvia
PWR 35
FC Tokyo
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Machida Zelvia
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: FC Tokyo to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (18%)0-1 (15%)1-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (7%)2-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5
75%
75%
BTTS
No
No 34%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FC Tokyo
DWDWL
STABLE
Machida Zelvia
DWLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): J1 League
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
FC Tokyovs
0.88
Machida ZelviaGoal Probability
FC Tokyo
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Machida Zel…
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (17%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 2.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
FC Tokyo-1
Gap#2
Machida Zel…
WR 75% 16 pts
WR 75% 17 pts
FC Tokyo
12.0%
| Mar 22 | FC Tokyo v Tokyo V… | 0-0 |
| Mar 18 | FC Tokyo v JEF Uni… | 1-2 |
| Mar 14 | FC Tokyo v Mito Ho… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | FC Tokyo v Yokoham… | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | FC Tokyo v Kashiwa… | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | FC Tokyo v Kawasak… | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | FC Tokyo v Urawa | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | FC Tokyo v Kashima | 1-1 |
| Dec 06 | FC Tokyo v Albirex… | 1-1 |
| Nov 30 | FC Tokyo v Vissel … | 0-0 |
Machida Zelvia
14.0%
| Mar 28 | Machida… v Kawasak… | 1-1 |
| Mar 22 | Machida… v Urawa | 1-2 |
| Mar 18 | Machida… v Kashima | 0-3 |
| Mar 14 | Machida… v Kashiwa… | 0-1 |
| Mar 10 | Machida… v Gangwon… | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Machida… v Gangwon… | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Machida… v JEF Uni… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Machida… v Tokyo V… | 2-2 |
| Feb 17 | Machida… v Chengdu… | 3-2 |
| Feb 14 | Machida… v Mito Ho… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Nov 16, 2025 | Machida Zelvia | 2-0 | FC Tokyo |
| Nov 09, 2025 | Machida Zelvia | 0-1 | FC Tokyo |
| Feb 22, 2025 | FC Tokyo | 0-1 | Machida Zelvia |
| Nov 09, 2024 | Machida Zelvia | 3-0 | FC Tokyo |
| Apr 21, 2024 | FC Tokyo | 1-2 | Machida Zelvia |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Machida Zelvia in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.