US Open Cup · Apr 01, 2026 22:30
Richmond Kickers
PWR 35
Loudoun United FC
PWR 37
Richmond Kickers
PWR 35
VS
Loudoun United FC
PWR 37
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Under 2.5
Goals · Low scoring expected: 1.0 total goals avg
80%
accuracy
1.7x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Loudoun United FC Win
Score
?
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (11%)3-0 (11%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (8%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.22x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.35x
Over 2.5
63%
63%
Under 2.5
37%
BTTS
No 47%
Over 3.5
34%
Team Comparison
0Attack23
100Defense53
Goals/G
0.00.7
Conc/G
0.01.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Richmond Kicke…
LLDLW
DOWN
Loudoun United…
LDLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_POSITION_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)H2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
3.00
Richmond Kicke…vs
0.68
Loudoun United…Goal Probability
Richmond Ki…
0
5%
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Loudoun Uni…
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (9%)2-0 (8%)1-2 (7%)0-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 34% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#33
Richmond Ki…-17
Gap#16
Loudoun Uni…
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 33% 4 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Kick… | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Loudoun Unite… | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Richmond Kicke…
6.0%
| Mar 27 | Richmon… v One Kno… | 1-0 |
| Mar 21 | Richmon… v Naples | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Richmon… v Atlanta… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Richmon… v Loudoun… | 3-1 |
| Oct 25 | Richmon… v Forward… | 5-1 |
| Oct 18 | Richmon… v Atlanta… | 2-0 |
| Oct 12 | Richmon… v Texoma | 1-0 |
| Oct 04 | Richmon… v One Kno… | 2-1 |
| Sep 27 | Richmon… v Tormenta | 4-2 |
| Sep 20 | Richmon… v Charlot… | 2-3 |
Loudoun United…
6.0%
| Mar 28 | Loudoun… v Tampa B… | 3-1 |
| Mar 21 | Loudoun… v Miami FC | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Loudoun… v Pittsbu… | 2-3 |
| Feb 21 | Loudoun… v Brooklyn | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Loudoun… v Richmon… | 3-1 |
| Jan 30 | Loudoun… v Bethleh… | 2-2 |
| Nov 01 | Loudoun… v North C… | 1-0 |
| Oct 25 | Loudoun… v North C… | 0-1 |
| Oct 19 | Loudoun… v Indy El… | 2-1 |
| Oct 11 | Loudoun… v Detroit… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Feb 07, 2026 | Loudoun Unite… | 3-1 | Richmond Kick… |
| Mar 01, 2025 | Loudoun Unite… | 4-2 | Richmond Kick… |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Richmond Kick… | 0-0 | Loudoun Unite… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
35%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Richmond Kickers struggling (3L in last 5)
Loudoun United FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.