US Open Cup · Apr 01, 2026 23:00
Hartford Athletic
PWR 0
Rhode Island
PWR 35
PWR 35
VS
Hartford Athletic
PWR 0
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Rhode Island Win
Score
?
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (15%)2-0 (11%)1-0 (6%)3-1 (4%)2-1 (3%)1-1 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.49x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.84x
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
No
No 23%
Over 3.5
45%
Team Comparison
100Attack0
0Defense0
Goals/G
4.00.0
Conc/G
4.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Rhode Island
LLDWW
DOWN
Hartford Athle…
DWDWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Odds data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 3/5 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.00
Rhode Islandvs
0.27
Hartford Athle…Goal Probability
Rhode Island
0
2%
1
7%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Hartford At…
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (12%)3-0 (11%)1-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)4-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 46% | 55% | - |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
Rhode Island
10.0%
| Mar 28 | Rhode I… v Miami FC | 2-1 |
| Mar 21 | Rhode I… v Louisvi… | 4-2 |
| Mar 14 | Rhode I… v Sportin… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Rhode I… v Sarasot… | 2-1 |
| Nov 18 | Rhode I… v Kazakhs… | 1-0 |
| Nov 09 | Rhode I… v North C… | 0-2 |
| Nov 02 | Rhode I… v Charles… | 0-0 |
| Oct 25 | Rhode I… v New Mex… | 2-1 |
| Oct 18 | Rhode I… v North C… | 0-0 |
| Oct 11 | Rhode I… v Tampa B… | 5-0 |
Hartford Athle…
12.0%
| Mar 28 | Hartfor… v Indy El… | 2-2 |
| Mar 21 | Hartfor… v Brooklyn | 1-2 |
| Mar 11 | Hartfor… v Birming… | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Hartfor… v Sportin… | 0-3 |
| Feb 14 | Hartfor… v New Eng… | 6-1 |
| Jan 31 | Hartfor… v New Yor… | 5-0 |
| Nov 01 | Hartfor… v Pittsbu… | 0-0 |
| Oct 25 | Hartfor… v Louisvi… | 1-0 |
| Oct 18 | Hartfor… v Tampa B… | 3-2 |
| Sep 03 | Hartfor… v Indy El… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Aug 23, 2025 | Hartford Athl… | 3-0 | Rhode Island |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Rhode Island | 2-2 | Hartford Athl… |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Rhode Island | 0-0 | Hartford Athl… |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Rhode Island | 3-0 | Hartford Athl… |
| Jun 01, 2024 | Hartford Athl… | 1-1 | Rhode Island |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
48%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.