US Open Cup · Apr 02, 2026 01:30
New Mexico United
PWR 59
El Paso Locomotive
PWR 35
New Mexico United
PWR 59
4-1
predicted
El Paso Locomotive
PWR 35
31%
28%
41%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
New Mexico United Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
37%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-2 (9%)1-1 (7%)1-3 (7%)2-2 (7%)0-2 (6%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.39x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.11x
Over 2.5
70%
70%
Under 2.5
30%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 70%
Over 3.5
64%
64%
Team Comparison
88Attack35
39Defense65
Goals/G
2.51.0
Conc/G
1.81.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
New Mexico Uni…
WLLLL
STABLE
El Paso Locomo…
WWDWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Elevated draw risk (23.2%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/1 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
New Mexico Uni…vs
2.36
El Paso Locomo…Goal Probability
New Mexico …
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
El Paso Loc…
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
CORRECT SCORES
1-3 (8%)1-2 (8%)0-3 (7%)0-2 (6%)1-4 (6%)0-4 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 64% | 37% | - |
| 4.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 5.5 | 28% | 73% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
New Mexico …+19
Gap#28
El Paso Loc…
WR 50% 7 pts
WR 0% 2 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico Un… | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 7 |
| El Paso Locom… | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
New Mexico Uni…
4.0%
| Mar 28 | New Mex… v Colorad… | 3-2 |
| Mar 22 | New Mex… v San Ant… | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | New Mex… v Oakland… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | New Mex… v El Paso… | 4-1 |
| Feb 03 | New Mex… v Louisvi… | 1-4 |
| Nov 18 | New Mex… v Portuga… | 0-5 |
| Nov 16 | New Mex… v Uruguay | 0-0 |
| Nov 16 | New Mex… v FC Tulsa | 3-0 |
| Nov 14 | New Mex… v Argenti… | 2-2 |
| Nov 09 | New Mex… v Orange … | 2-1 |
El Paso Locomo…
14.0%
| Mar 29 | El Paso… v Sacrame… | 1-2 |
| Mar 15 | El Paso… v Montere… | 0-3 |
| Mar 08 | El Paso… v Colorad… | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | El Paso… v New Mex… | 4-1 |
| Nov 02 | El Paso… v Phoenix… | 0-1 |
| Oct 26 | El Paso… v San Ant… | 5-2 |
| Oct 19 | El Paso… v FC UFA | 1-1 |
| Oct 11 | El Paso… v Lexingt… | 1-2 |
| Oct 05 | El Paso… v Orange … | 0-0 |
| Oct 01 | El Paso… v Oakland… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 28, 2026 | El Paso Locom… | 4-1 | New Mexico Un… |
| May 04, 2025 | El Paso Locom… | 3-0 | New Mexico Un… |
| Apr 17, 2025 | New Mexico Un… | 2-2 | El Paso Locom… |
| Mar 22, 2025 | New Mexico Un… | 1-0 | El Paso Locom… |
| Mar 01, 2025 | New Mexico Un… | 2-2 | El Paso Locom… |
| Jul 28, 2024 | El Paso Locom… | 1-2 | New Mexico Un… |
| Apr 07, 2024 | New Mexico Un… | 3-2 | El Paso Locom… |
| Jul 02, 2023 | El Paso Locom… | 0-1 | New Mexico Un… |
| Jun 04, 2023 | New Mexico Un… | 0-1 | El Paso Locom… |
| Feb 19, 2023 | El Paso Locom… | 1-3 | New Mexico Un… |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
37%
Standings
50%
Market
55%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
El Paso Locomotive in strong form (3W in last 5)
New Mexico United struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.