US Open Cup · Apr 02, 2026 02:00
Orange County SC
PWR 23
Phoenix Rising
PWR 45
Orange County SC
PWR 23
1-2
predicted
Phoenix Rising
PWR 45
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Phoenix Rising Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (45%)1-0 (27%)0-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)1-1 (5%)2-1 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.42x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.0x
Over 2.5
5%
Under 2.5
95%
95%
BTTS
No
No 8%
Over 3.5
2%
Team Comparison
35Attack47
30Defense53
Goals/G
1.01.3
Conc/G
2.01.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Orange County …
WWDDL
STABLE
Phoenix Rising
DDDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_POSITION_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)H2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59
Orange County …vs
0.20
Phoenix RisingGoal Probability
Orange Coun…
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Phoenix Ris…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (36%)1-0 (21%)0-1 (16%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (6%)0-2 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 1.5 | 28% | 73% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#38
Orange Coun…-24
Gap#14
Phoenix Ris…
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 33% 4 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orange County… | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Phoenix Rising | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Orange County …
12.0%
| Mar 29 | Orange … v Oakland… | 0-1 |
| Mar 22 | Orange … v Colorad… | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Orange … v Phoenix… | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Orange … v Las Veg… | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Orange … v Los Ang… | 2-0 |
| Nov 09 | Orange … v New Mex… | 2-1 |
| Nov 03 | Orange … v Sacrame… | 0-0 |
| Oct 26 | Orange … v Indy El… | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | Orange … v Louisvi… | 0-0 |
| Oct 16 | Orange … v San Ant… | 1-0 |
Phoenix Rising
6.0%
| Mar 29 | Phoenix… v FC Tulsa | 1-1 |
| Mar 22 | Phoenix… v Oakland… | 2-2 |
| Mar 15 | Phoenix… v Orange … | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Phoenix… v San Ant… | 2-1 |
| Nov 09 | Phoenix… v FC Tulsa | 1-0 |
| Nov 02 | Phoenix… v El Paso… | 0-1 |
| Oct 25 | Phoenix… v Pittsbu… | 0-0 |
| Oct 19 | Phoenix… v San Ant… | 1-0 |
| Oct 10 | Phoenix… v North C… | 0-2 |
| Oct 05 | Phoenix… v New Mex… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 15, 2026 | Phoenix Rising | 1-1 | Orange County… |
| Jul 31, 2025 | Orange County… | 4-1 | Phoenix Rising |
| Jun 08, 2025 | Phoenix Rising | 3-1 | Orange County… |
| Sep 26, 2024 | Orange County… | 2-0 | Phoenix Rising |
| Jun 09, 2024 | Phoenix Rising | 2-1 | Orange County… |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Orange County… | 1-2 | Phoenix Rising |
| Oct 01, 2023 | Phoenix Rising | 1-1 | Orange County… |
| May 21, 2023 | Orange County… | 0-1 | Phoenix Rising |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Orange County… | 2-1 | Phoenix Rising |
| Jul 03, 2022 | Phoenix Rising | 2-2 | Orange County… |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
65%
Standings
50%
Market
52%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.