Asian Cup - Qualification · Mar 31, 2026 13:30
India
PWR 47
Hong Kong
PWR 37
India
PWR 47
2 - 1
FT
Hong Kong
PWR 37
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
India Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (9%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-0 (6%)1-1 (5%)
CORRECT 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.5x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.71x
Over 2.5
67%
67%
Under 2.5
33%
BTTS
Yes 56%
Over 3.5
27%
Team Comparison
40Attack40
70Defense40
Goals/G
1.11.1
Conc/G
0.91.7
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
India
LLDLD
DOWN
Hong Kong
LDWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.16
Indiavs
0.87
Hong KongGoal Probability
India
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Hong Kong
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (7%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 3.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
India+1
Gap#14
Hong Kong
WR 29% 8 pts
WR 29% 8 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| India | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
| Hong Kong | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 8 |
India
4.0%
| Nov 18 | India v Banglad… | 1-0 |
| Oct 14 | India v Singapo… | 1-2 |
| Oct 09 | India v Singapo… | 1-1 |
| Oct 08 | India v Saudi A… | 2-3 |
| Sep 08 | India v Lebanon | 0-0 |
| Sep 05 | India v Chinese… | 6-0 |
| Sep 04 | India v IF Gnis… | 0-0 |
| Sep 01 | India v Zira | 0-3 |
| Jun 10 | India v Hong Ko… | 1-0 |
| Jun 04 | India v Rathfri… | 2-0 |
Hong Kong
10.0%
| Nov 18 | Hong Ko… v Singapo… | 1-2 |
| Oct 14 | Hong Ko… v Banglad… | 1-1 |
| Oct 09 | Hong Ko… v Banglad… | 3-4 |
| Jul 15 | Hong Ko… v China | 1-0 |
| Jun 10 | Hong Ko… v India | 1-0 |
| Mar 25 | Hong Ko… v Singapo… | 0-0 |
| Jun 14 | Hong Ko… v India | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jun 10, 2025 | Hong Kong | 1-0 | India |
| Jun 14, 2022 | India | 4-0 | Hong Kong |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
44%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
India struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.