Asian Cup - Qualification · Mar 31, 2026 14:00
Tajikistan
PWR 51
Philippines
PWR 82
Tajikistan
PWR 51
0 - 0
FT
Philippines
PWR 82
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Tajikistan Win
Score
2-3
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (16%)0-2 (15%)0-3 (10%)1-1 (9%)0-0 (9%)1-2 (9%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.38x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.98x
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS
No 36%
Over 3.5
23%
Team Comparison
49Attack100
62Defense65
Goals/G
1.43.0
Conc/G
1.11.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Tajikistan
LWDWW
STABLE
Philippines
LLWWW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 2/3 draws (67%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.56
Tajikistanvs
1.88
PhilippinesGoal Probability
Tajikistan
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Philippines
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (11%)0-1 (11%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Tajikistan+2
Gap#5
Philippines
WR 40% 15 pts
WR 80% 13 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tajikistan | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 15 |
| Philippines | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 13 |
Tajikistan
14.0%
| Nov 18 | Tajikis… v Serbia | 0-5 |
| Nov 18 | Tajikis… v Timor-L… | 0-5 |
| Oct 14 | Tajikis… v IF Gnis… | 1-1 |
| Oct 14 | Tajikis… v Maldives | 0-3 |
| Oct 09 | Tajikis… v Maldives | 2-0 |
| Oct 09 | Tajikis… v IF Gnis… | 0-0 |
| Sep 04 | Tajikis… v Zira | 2-2 |
| Sep 01 | Tajikis… v IF Gnis… | 0-2 |
| Jun 10 | Tajikis… v Myanmar… | 1-0 |
| Jun 10 | Tajikis… v Philipp… | 2-2 |
Philippines
12.0%
| Dec 18 | Philipp… v Malaysi… | 1-2 |
| Dec 15 | Philipp… v Vietnam… | 2-0 |
| Nov 18 | Philipp… v Maldives | 0-2 |
| Oct 14 | Philipp… v Timor-L… | 3-1 |
| Oct 09 | Philipp… v Timor-L… | 1-4 |
| Jun 10 | Philipp… v Tajikis… | 2-2 |
| Mar 25 | Philipp… v Maldives | 4-1 |
| Oct 14 | Philipp… v Tajikis… | 0-3 |
| Sep 08 | Philipp… v Tajikis… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jun 10, 2025 | Philippines | 2-2 | Tajikistan |
| Oct 14, 2024 | Tajikistan | 0-3 | Philippines |
| Sep 08, 2024 | Tajikistan | 0-0 | Philippines |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
50%
Market
52%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Tajikistan in strong form (3W in last 5)
Philippines in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.