UEFA Nations League · Mar 31, 2026 16:00
Luxembourg
PWR 35
Malta
PWR 35
Luxembourg
PWR 35
3 - 0
FT
Malta
PWR 35
61%
22%
17%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Luxembourg Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (21%)1-0 (20%)3-0 (15%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (5%)1-1 (5%)
CORRECT 3-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.33x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.08x
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
29%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Luxembourg
WWWLL
UP
Malta
DLLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
Luxembourgvs
0.23
MaltaGoal Probability
Luxembourg
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Malta
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Luxembourg-2
Gap#2
Malta
WR 0% 3 pts
WR 50% 7 pts
Luxembourg
12.0%
| Mar 26 | Luxembo… v Malta | 0-2 |
| Feb 19 | Luxembo… v Malta | 3-0 |
| Feb 17 | Luxembo… v Malta | 2-0 |
| Nov 17 | Luxembo… v Norther… | 1-0 |
| Nov 14 | Luxembo… v Germany… | 0-2 |
| Oct 14 | Luxembo… v Japan U… | 0-1 |
| Oct 13 | Luxembo… v Slovenia | 2-0 |
| Oct 10 | Luxembo… v Germany… | 4-0 |
| Oct 08 | Luxembo… v Germany… | 4-0 |
| Sep 07 | Luxembo… v Slovenia | 0-1 |
Malta
2.0%
| Mar 30 | Malta v Azerbai… | 2-2 |
| Mar 27 | Malta v Bulgaria | 1-0 |
| Mar 26 | Malta v Luxembo… | 0-2 |
| Mar 24 | Malta v Lithuan… | 1-3 |
| Feb 19 | Malta v Luxembo… | 3-0 |
| Feb 17 | Malta v Luxembo… | 2-0 |
| Nov 17 | Malta v Scotland | 2-3 |
| Nov 17 | Malta v Bosnia … | 2-2 |
| Nov 14 | Malta v England | 0-1 |
| Nov 14 | Malta v Turkey | 5-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Mar 26, 2026 | Malta | 0-2 | Luxembourg |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Luxembourg | 3-0 | Malta |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Luxembourg | 2-0 | Malta |
| Jun 09, 2023 | Luxembourg | 0-1 | Malta |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
92%
Standings
46%
Market
55%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Luxembourg in strong form (3W in last 5)
Malta struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.