UEFA Nations League · Mar 31, 2026 16:00
Latvia
PWR 35
Gibraltar
PWR 35
Latvia
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Gibraltar
PWR 35
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 67% home + 25% draw = 91% combined
92%
accuracy
1.15x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Latvia Win
Score
1-0
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (14%)2-0 (9%)1-0 (4%)3-1 (3%)2-1 (2%)0-0 (1%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
91%
Home/Draw
1.15x
DC X2
Away/Draw
3.14x
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
49%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Latvia
WLLWL
STABLE
Gibraltar
LLLLL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Latviavs
0.20
GibraltarGoal Probability
Latvia
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Gibraltar
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (10%)3-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)1-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 4.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Latvia-2
Gap#2
Gibraltar
WR 33% 4 pts
WR 0% 6 pts
Latvia
8.0%
| Mar 26 | Latvia v Gibralt… | 0-1 |
| Nov 16 | Latvia v Serbia | 2-1 |
| Oct 14 | Latvia v England | 0-5 |
| Oct 14 | Latvia v Andorra | 1-5 |
| Oct 11 | Latvia v Japan U… | 5-0 |
| Oct 11 | Latvia v Andorra | 2-2 |
| Oct 08 | Latvia v Denmark | 2-3 |
| Sep 09 | Latvia v Albania | 1-0 |
| Sep 06 | Latvia v Serbia | 0-1 |
| Jun 10 | Latvia v Albania | 1-1 |
Gibraltar
0.0%
| Mar 26 | Gibralt… v Latvia | 0-1 |
| Nov 17 | Gibralt… v Czech R… | 6-0 |
| Nov 14 | Gibralt… v Montene… | 1-2 |
| Oct 14 | Gibralt… v North M… | 0-9 |
| Oct 12 | Gibralt… v Croatia | 3-0 |
| Oct 11 | Gibralt… v Hungary | 8-0 |
| Oct 08 | Gibralt… v New Cal… | 0-2 |
| Oct 08 | Gibralt… v Czech R… | 13-0 |
| Sep 08 | Gibralt… v Faroe I… | 0-1 |
| Sep 04 | Gibralt… v Atalanta | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Mar 26, 2026 | Gibraltar | 0-1 | Latvia |
| Nov 16, 2021 | Gibraltar | 1-3 | Latvia |
| Sep 01, 2021 | Latvia | 3-1 | Gibraltar |
Decision Breakdown
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
46%
Market
68%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Latvia struggling (3L in last 5)
Gibraltar struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.