UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · Mar 31, 2026 16:30

Sweden U21
PWR 35

Italy U21
PWR 35

Sweden U21
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Italy U21
PWR 35
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-2 (8%)1-1 (7%)1-3 (7%)2-2 (7%)2-1 (6%)2-3 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.12x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.39x
Over 2.5
73%
73%
Under 2.5
27%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 73%
Over 3.5
61%
61%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sweden U21
DWWLL
STABLE
Italy U21
WWLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
Youth league excluded: U21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Sweden U21vs
2.43
Italy U21Goal Probability
Sweden U21
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Italy U21
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
CORRECT SCORES
1-3 (8%)1-2 (8%)0-3 (7%)0-2 (7%)1-4 (6%)0-4 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 4.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 5.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Sweden U21-3
Gap#1
Italy U21
WR 33% 10 pts
WR 67% 15 pts
Sweden U21
10.0%
| Mar 27 | Sweden … v Montene… | 2-2 |
| Nov 18 | Sweden … v Armenia… | 0-1 |
| Nov 13 | Sweden … v North M… | 1-4 |
| Oct 14 | Sweden … v Poland … | 0-6 |
| Oct 10 | Sweden … v Italy U… | 4-0 |
| Sep 09 | Sweden … v Montene… | 2-0 |
| Sep 05 | Sweden … v Armenia… | 3-0 |
| Jun 09 | Sweden … v Italy U… | 1-1 |
| Oct 12 | Sweden … v Italy U… | 1-1 |
| Oct 08 | Sweden … v Montene… | 3-1 |
Italy U21
16.0%
| Mar 26 | Italy U… v North M… | 4-0 |
| Nov 18 | Italy U… v Montene… | 1-4 |
| Nov 14 | Italy U… v Poland … | 2-1 |
| Oct 14 | Italy U… v Armenia… | 5-1 |
| Oct 10 | Italy U… v Sweden … | 4-0 |
| Sep 09 | Italy U… v North M… | 0-1 |
| Sep 05 | Italy U… v Montene… | 2-1 |
| Jun 09 | Italy U… v Sweden … | 1-1 |
| Oct 12 | Italy U… v Sweden … | 1-1 |
| Nov 18 | Italy U… v Sweden … | 4-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Oct 10, 2025 | Italy U21 | 4-0 | Sweden U21 |
| Jun 09, 2022 | Sweden U21 | 1-1 | Italy U21 |
| Oct 12, 2021 | Italy U21 | 1-1 | Sweden U21 |
| Nov 18, 2020 | Italy U21 | 4-1 | Sweden U21 |
| Sep 08, 2020 | Sweden U21 | 3-0 | Italy U21 |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
38%
Standings
44%
Market
35%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Italy U21 in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.