Liga Pro Serie B · Apr 03, 2026 00:00
El Nacional
PWR 35
Deportivo Cuenca
PWR 56
El Nacional
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Deportivo Cuenca
PWR 56
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Under 2.5
Goals · Low scoring expected: 1.4 total goals avg
80%
accuracy
1.7x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Deportivo Cuenca Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (31%)1-0 (25%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
12%
Under 2.5
88%
88%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
15%
Team Comparison
0Attack18
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.5
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
El Nacional
LLLWL
DOWN
Deportivo Cuen…
DDWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.6%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
El Nacionalvs
0.36
Deportivo Cuen…Goal Probability
El Nacional
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Deportivo C…
0
70%
1
25%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (19%)0-0 (13%)0-2 (13%)1-1 (12%)1-0 (8%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 2.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 15% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#19
El Nacional-1
Gap#18
Deportivo C…
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 50% 4 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Nacional | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 1 |
| Deportivo Cue… | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
El Nacional
4.0%
| Mar 28 | El Naci… v LDU Por… | 2-1 |
| Mar 21 | El Naci… v UT Coto… | 0-1 |
| Dec 16 | El Naci… v Emelec | 5-0 |
| Dec 07 | El Naci… v Aucas | 3-1 |
| Nov 30 | El Naci… v Macará | 2-0 |
| Nov 22 | El Naci… v Deporti… | 5-0 |
| Nov 09 | El Naci… v Emelec | 2-1 |
| Nov 01 | El Naci… v Aucas | 3-3 |
| Oct 26 | El Naci… v Macará | 2-0 |
| Oct 21 | El Naci… v Deporti… | 0-2 |
Deportivo Cuen…
10.0%
| Mar 27 | Deporti… v 9 de Oc… | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | Deporti… v Macará | 1-1 |
| Mar 21 | Deporti… v Gualace… | 0-1 |
| Mar 17 | Deporti… v Univers… | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Deporti… v Leones … | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Deporti… v Aucas | 0-1 |
| Mar 05 | Deporti… v Liberta… | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | Deporti… v Barcelo… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Deporti… v DelfĂn … | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Deporti… v Guayaqu… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Nov 22, 2025 | Deportivo Cue… | 5-0 | El Nacional |
| Oct 21, 2025 | El Nacional | 0-2 | Deportivo Cue… |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Deportivo Cue… | 4-1 | El Nacional |
| Feb 16, 2025 | El Nacional | 0-1 | Deportivo Cue… |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Deportivo Cue… | 1-0 | El Nacional |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
66%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
El Nacional struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.