Premier League · Apr 05, 2026 19:30
Montego Bay United
PWR 35
Montego Bay United
PWR 35
4-0
predicted
Spanish Town Police
PWR 35
PWR 35
61%
22%
17%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Montego Bay United Win
Score
4-0
Confidence
72%
TierPREMIUM
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (9%)2-0 (6%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (4%)1-0 (3%)1-1 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
No 44%
Over 3.5
58%
58%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Montego Bay Un…
WDLWW
STABLE
Spanish Town P…
LLDLD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk22%
Accuracy77%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskElevated draw risk (22.0%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdPREMIUM with draw risk (22%) - skip
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Montego Bay Un…vs
0.59
Spanish Town P…Goal Probability
Montego Bay…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Spanish Tow…
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (12%)4-0 (11%)2-0 (11%)5-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)1-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 4.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Montego Bay…+13
Gap#14
Spanish Tow…
WR 67% 61 pts
WR 13% 20 pts
Montego Bay Un…
14.0%
| Mar 29 | Montego… v Cavalie… | 3-1 |
| Mar 25 | Montego… v Molynes… | 1-1 |
| Mar 22 | Montego… v Chapelt… | 3-1 |
| Mar 18 | Montego… v Dunbeho… | 4-3 |
| Mar 16 | Montego… v Waterho… | 0-4 |
| Mar 10 | Montego… v Waterho… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Montego… v Arnett … | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Montego… v Harbour… | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Montego… v Cavalie… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Montego… v Racing … | 1-1 |
Spanish Town P…
4.0%
| Mar 30 | Spanish… v Waterho… | 5-1 |
| Mar 27 | Spanish… v Mount P… | 4-0 |
| Mar 23 | Spanish… v Treasur… | 0-0 |
| Mar 19 | Spanish… v Harbour… | 3-0 |
| Mar 16 | Spanish… v Tivoli … | 0-0 |
| Mar 03 | Spanish… v Waterho… | 3-0 |
| Feb 24 | Spanish… v Arnett … | 1-2 |
| Feb 15 | Spanish… v Harbour… | 1-0 |
| Feb 09 | Spanish… v Cavalie… | 5-0 |
| Feb 05 | Spanish… v Dunbeho… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jan 21, 2026 | Spanish Town … | 0-5 | Montego Bay U… |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Montego Bay U… | 4-0 | Spanish Town … |
Decision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
90%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Montego Bay United in strong form (3W in last 5)
Spanish Town Police struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.