Liga Nacional · Apr 02, 2026 01:30

Victoria
PWR 38

CD Motagua
PWR 35

Victoria
PWR 38
1-1
predicted

CD Motagua
PWR 35
23%
29%
48%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-3 (11%)0-2 (9%)1-3 (7%)1-2 (6%)0-1 (5%)1-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
64%
64%
Under 2.5
36%
BTTS
No 48%
Over 3.5
44%
Team Comparison
44Attack0
43Defense100
Goals/G
1.30.0
Conc/G
1.60.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Victoria
LLLLL
DOWN
CD Motagua
DWWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Liga Nacional
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Victoriavs
3.62
CD MotaguaGoal Probability
Victoria
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CD Motagua
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
21%
4
19%
CORRECT SCORES
0-2 (12%)0-3 (10%)0-1 (9%)1-2 (9%)1-3 (8%)0-4 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 4.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Victoria-4
Gap#3
CD Motagua
WR 26% 95 pts
WR 49% 160 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria | 89 | 23 | 26 | 40 | 112 | 145 | 95 |
| CD Motagua | 90 | 44 | 28 | 18 | 168 | 110 | 160 |
Victoria
0.0%
| Mar 22 | Victoria v CD Mara… | 2-0 |
| Mar 16 | Victoria v Platens… | 2-3 |
| Mar 12 | Victoria v Real Es… | 4-1 |
| Mar 08 | Victoria v Génesis | 2-4 |
| Mar 01 | Victoria v Jutical… | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Victoria v Olancho | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Victoria v Atlétic… | 2-1 |
| Feb 16 | Victoria v CD Olim… | 2-1 |
| Feb 12 | Victoria v Lobos U… | 2-2 |
| Feb 08 | Victoria v CD Mota… | 1-1 |
CD Motagua
16.0%
| Mar 22 | CD Mota… v Real Es… | 1-1 |
| Mar 19 | CD Mota… v Platens… | 0-1 |
| Mar 11 | CD Mota… v Lobos U… | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | CD Mota… v Atlétic… | 1-3 |
| Mar 01 | CD Mota… v Olancho | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | CD Mota… v Jutical… | 1-2 |
| Feb 23 | CD Mota… v CD Olim… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | CD Mota… v CD Mara… | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | CD Mota… v Génesis | 0-5 |
| Feb 08 | CD Mota… v Victoria | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 08, 2026 | CD Motagua | 1-1 | Victoria |
| Nov 02, 2025 | CD Motagua | 2-1 | Victoria |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Victoria | 0-1 | CD Motagua |
| May 04, 2025 | Victoria | 1-1 | CD Motagua |
| Mar 02, 2025 | CD Motagua | 2-1 | Victoria |
| Dec 01, 2024 | CD Motagua | 5-2 | Victoria |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Victoria | 1-3 | CD Motagua |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Victoria | 2-2 | CD Motagua |
| Jan 31, 2024 | CD Motagua | 3-0 | Victoria |
| Nov 25, 2023 | CD Motagua | 1-3 | Victoria |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
CD Motagua in strong form (3W in last 5)
Victoria struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.