Liga Nacional · Apr 02, 2026 21:00
Génesis
PWR 39
PWR 39
2-1
predicted
Juticalpa
PWR 29
PWR 29
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Génesis to win (58% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
58%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (12%)1-2 (9%)0-2 (9%)1-0 (8%)0-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS
No 49%
Over 3.5
54%
Team Comparison
38Attack37
52Defense26
Goals/G
1.11.1
Conc/G
1.42.1
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Génesis
WLLDW
STABLE
Juticalpa
LLDLW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Liga Nacional
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Génesisvs
1.47
JuticalpaGoal Probability
Génesis
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
Juticalpa
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)3-0 (7%)1-1 (6%)1-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 75% | 26% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 55% | 46% | - |
| 4.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Génesis+4
Gap#10
Juticalpa
WR 24% 95 pts
WR 22% 54 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Génesis | 86 | 21 | 32 | 33 | 93 | 118 | 95 |
| Juticalpa | 58 | 13 | 15 | 30 | 61 | 122 | 54 |
Génesis
10.0%
| Mar 25 | Génesis v Atlétic… | 1-2 |
| Mar 19 | Génesis v Real Es… | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Génesis v CD Olim… | 0-2 |
| Mar 11 | Génesis v Olancho | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Génesis v Victoria | 2-4 |
| Mar 02 | Génesis v Lobos U… | 0-2 |
| Feb 27 | Génesis v CD Mara… | 1-2 |
| Feb 15 | Génesis v Platens… | 2-2 |
| Feb 11 | Génesis v CD Mota… | 0-5 |
| Feb 07 | Génesis v Jutical… | 1-1 |
Juticalpa
6.0%
| Mar 23 | Jutical… v CD Olim… | 1-6 |
| Mar 18 | Jutical… v CD Mara… | 0-4 |
| Mar 15 | Jutical… v Atlétic… | 1-1 |
| Mar 09 | Jutical… v Lobos U… | 3-2 |
| Mar 01 | Jutical… v Victoria | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Jutical… v CD Mota… | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Jutical… v Platens… | 4-0 |
| Feb 14 | Jutical… v Olancho | 4-1 |
| Feb 12 | Jutical… v Real Es… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Jutical… v Génesis | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Feb 07, 2026 | Juticalpa | 1-1 | Génesis |
| Dec 03, 2025 | Génesis | 2-2 | Juticalpa |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Juticalpa | 1-1 | Génesis |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Génesis | 1-0 | Juticalpa |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Juticalpa | 0-1 | Génesis |
| Dec 01, 2024 | Génesis | 3-0 | Juticalpa |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Juticalpa | 0-0 | Génesis |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
45%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Juticalpa struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.