Liga Nacional · Apr 05, 2026 23:15
CD Motagua
PWR 35
CD Motagua
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
GĂ©nesis
PWR 39
PWR 39
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: CD Motagua to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)0-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS
No 50%
Over 3.5
46%
Team Comparison
0Attack38
100Defense52
Goals/G
0.01.1
Conc/G
0.01.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
CD Motagua
DWWWD
STABLE
GĂ©nesis
WLLDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Liga Nacional
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
CD Motaguavs
1.07
GĂ©nesisGoal Probability
CD Motagua
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
GĂ©nesis
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (13%)3-0 (13%)4-0 (10%)1-0 (9%)2-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 4.5 | 28% | 73% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
CD Motagua+3
Gap#6
GĂ©nesis
WR 49% 160 pts
WR 24% 95 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Motagua | 90 | 44 | 28 | 18 | 168 | 110 | 160 |
| GĂ©nesis | 86 | 21 | 32 | 33 | 93 | 118 | 95 |
CD Motagua
16.0%
| Mar 22 | CD Mota… v Real Es… | 1-1 |
| Mar 19 | CD Mota… v Platens… | 0-1 |
| Mar 11 | CD Mota… v Lobos U… | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | CD Mota… v Atlétic… | 1-3 |
| Mar 01 | CD Mota… v Olancho | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | CD Mota… v Jutical… | 1-2 |
| Feb 23 | CD Mota… v CD Olim… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | CD Mota… v CD Mara… | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | CD Mota… v Génesis | 0-5 |
| Feb 08 | CD Mota… v Victoria | 1-1 |
GĂ©nesis
10.0%
| Mar 25 | Génesis v Atlétic… | 1-2 |
| Mar 19 | Génesis v Real Es… | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Génesis v CD Olim… | 0-2 |
| Mar 11 | GĂ©nesis v Olancho | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | GĂ©nesis v Victoria | 2-4 |
| Mar 02 | Génesis v Lobos U… | 0-2 |
| Feb 27 | Génesis v CD Mara… | 1-2 |
| Feb 15 | Génesis v Platens… | 2-2 |
| Feb 11 | Génesis v CD Mota… | 0-5 |
| Feb 07 | Génesis v Jutical… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Feb 11, 2026 | GĂ©nesis | 0-5 | CD Motagua |
| Oct 05, 2025 | CD Motagua | 4-3 | GĂ©nesis |
| Jul 26, 2025 | GĂ©nesis | 2-1 | CD Motagua |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
64%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
CD Motagua in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.