Ligue 1 · Apr 05, 2026 16:00
ASFAG
PWR 45
ASFAG
PWR 45
2-1
predicted
Karfamoriah
PWR 37
PWR 37
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ASFAG Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (18%)2-0 (16%)1-0 (10%)3-1 (4%)2-1 (3%)0-0 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
10%
Team Comparison
38Attack28
60Defense57
Goals/G
1.10.8
Conc/G
1.11.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
ASFAG
DLWLW
STABLE
Karfamoriah
LDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (27.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.33
ASFAGvs
0.20
KarfamoriahGoal Probability
ASFAG
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Karfamoriah
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (21%)0-0 (17%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 2.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
ASFAG+2
Gap#13
Karfamoriah
WR 37% 35 pts
WR 24% 21 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASFAG | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 31 | 35 |
| Karfamoriah | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 21 |
ASFAG
10.0%
| Mar 30 | ASFAG v Loubha … | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | ASFAG v Horoya | 2-0 |
| Mar 06 | ASFAG v Renaiss… | 4-0 |
| Feb 28 | ASFAG v Kaloum … | 2-0 |
| Feb 20 | ASFAG v ASM San… | 1-2 |
| Feb 16 | ASFAG v Wakirya | 0-1 |
| Feb 12 | ASFAG v Afrique… | 4-2 |
| Feb 05 | ASFAG v CI Kams… | 1-1 |
| Jan 03 | ASFAG v Hafia | 0-1 |
| Dec 24 | ASFAG v CI Kams… | 1-0 |
Karfamoriah
2.0%
| Mar 29 | Karfamo… v Horoya | 1-2 |
| Mar 24 | Karfamo… v Kaloum … | 0-0 |
| Mar 02 | Karfamo… v CI Kams… | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Karfamo… v CI Kams… | 2-0 |
| Feb 20 | Karfamo… v Wakirya | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Karfamo… v Hafia | 2-2 |
| Feb 10 | Karfamo… v Renaiss… | 3-0 |
| Feb 06 | Karfamo… v Loubha … | 1-0 |
| Jan 04 | Karfamo… v Milo | 0-2 |
| Dec 26 | Karfamo… v Ashanti… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Dec 11, 2025 | Karfamoriah | 1-0 | ASFAG |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Karfamoriah struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.