Premier League · Apr 02, 2026 20:30
Portmore United
PWR 35
Montego Bay United
PWR 35
Portmore United
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Montego Bay United
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)1-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)1-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
68%
68%
Under 2.5
32%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 66%
Over 3.5
53%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Portmore United
LWLDW
STABLE
Montego Bay Un…
WDLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 3% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 40% at home = very high riskH2H: 7/10 draws (70%) = VERY HIGH riskCombined DR 65% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.56
Portmore Unitedvs
1.24
Montego Bay Un…Goal Probability
Portmore Un…
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Montego Bay…
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)2-2 (7%)3-1 (5%)1-3 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 4.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Portmore Un…-3
Gap#1
Montego Bay…
WR 47% 51 pts
WR 50% 61 pts
Portmore United
10.0%
| Mar 29 | Portmor… v Dunbeho… | 2-1 |
| Mar 26 | Portmor… v Waterho… | 2-1 |
| Mar 24 | Portmor… v Mount P… | 4-1 |
| Mar 18 | Portmor… v Treasur… | 2-2 |
| Mar 15 | Portmor… v Harbour… | 4-2 |
| Mar 08 | Portmor… v Treasur… | 1-1 |
| Mar 05 | Portmor… v Waterho… | 0-1 |
| Mar 02 | Portmor… v Mount P… | 1-1 |
| Feb 17 | Portmor… v Arnett … | 0-2 |
| Feb 08 | Portmor… v Harbour… | 1-2 |
Montego Bay Un…
14.0%
| Mar 29 | Montego… v Cavalie… | 3-1 |
| Mar 25 | Montego… v Molynes… | 1-1 |
| Mar 22 | Montego… v Chapelt… | 3-1 |
| Mar 18 | Montego… v Dunbeho… | 4-3 |
| Mar 16 | Montego… v Waterho… | 0-4 |
| Mar 10 | Montego… v Waterho… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Montego… v Arnett … | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Montego… v Harbour… | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Montego… v Cavalie… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Montego… v Racing … | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 18, 2026 | Montego Bay U… | 0-0 | Portmore Unit… |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Portmore Unit… | 2-0 | Montego Bay U… |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Montego Bay U… | 0-0 | Portmore Unit… |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Portmore Unit… | 0-0 | Montego Bay U… |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Montego Bay U… | 0-0 | Portmore Unit… |
| Mar 03, 2024 | Portmore Unit… | 1-1 | Montego Bay U… |
| Dec 03, 2023 | Montego Bay U… | 3-2 | Portmore Unit… |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Montego Bay U… | 1-1 | Portmore Unit… |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Portmore Unit… | 1-1 | Montego Bay U… |
| May 23, 2022 | Portmore Unit… | 0-1 | Montego Bay U… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Montego Bay United in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.