Premier League · Apr 02, 2026 20:30
Tivoli Gardens
PWR 35
Treasure Beach
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Tivoli Gardens
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (15%)1-0 (14%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (9%)0-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS
No 40%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Treasure Beach
DDDDL
STABLE
Tivoli Gardens
WLDLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk38%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 1% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesAway draws 40% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 90% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Treasure Beachvs
0.62
Tivoli GardensGoal Probability
Treasure Be…
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Tivoli Gard…
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (17%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 2.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Treasure Be…-1
Gap#10
Tivoli Gard…
WR 19% 31 pts
WR 20% 38 pts
Treasure Beach
8.0%
| Mar 30 | Treasur… v Racing … | 0-0 |
| Mar 26 | Treasur… v Arnett … | 0-0 |
| Mar 23 | Treasur… v Spanish… | 0-0 |
| Mar 18 | Treasur… v Portmor… | 2-2 |
| Mar 15 | Treasur… v Cavalie… | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Treasur… v Portmor… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Treasur… v Tivoli … | 4-2 |
| Feb 22 | Treasur… v Dunbeho… | 4-2 |
| Feb 15 | Treasur… v Chapelt… | 2-0 |
| Feb 11 | Treasur… v Mount P… | 0-0 |
Tivoli Gardens
8.0%
| Mar 29 | Tivoli … v Harbour… | 3-2 |
| Mar 25 | Tivoli … v Chapelt… | 0-1 |
| Mar 22 | Tivoli … v Racing … | 0-0 |
| Mar 19 | Tivoli … v Arnett … | 0-2 |
| Mar 16 | Tivoli … v Spanish… | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Tivoli … v Dunbeho… | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | Tivoli … v Mount P… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Tivoli … v Treasur… | 4-2 |
| Feb 16 | Tivoli … v Waterho… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Tivoli … v Arnett … | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Mar 01, 2026 | Treasure Beach | 4-2 | Tivoli Gardens |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Tivoli Gardens | 0-0 | Treasure Beach |
| Mar 03, 2024 | Treasure Beach | 0-5 | Tivoli Gardens |
| Dec 05, 2023 | Tivoli Gardens | 3-2 | Treasure Beach |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.