Premier League · Apr 04, 2026 13:00
FK Tobol Kostanay
PWR 35
Yelimay Semey
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
FK Tobol Kostanay
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
Yes 58%
Over 3.5
55%
55%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Yelimay Semey
WDDLL
STABLE
FK Tobol Kosta…
LDLDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 100% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 125% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.34
Yelimay Semeyvs
1.03
FK Tobol Kosta…Goal Probability
Yelimay Sem…
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
FK Tobol Ko…
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)1-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-2 (6%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 4.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Yelimay Sem…+4
Gap#14
FK Tobol Ko…
WR 0% 2 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Yelimay Semey
8.0%
| Mar 21 | Yelimay… v Aktobe | 1-4 |
| Mar 16 | Yelimay… v Altay | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Yelimay… v Okzhetp… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Yelimay… v Lokomot… | 2-0 |
| Jan 27 | Yelimay… v Krasnod… | 2-1 |
| Jan 20 | Yelimay… v Žilina | 0-4 |
| Oct 26 | Yelimay… v Atyrau | 3-2 |
| Oct 18 | Yelimay… v Turan T… | 3-6 |
| Sep 28 | Yelimay… v Ordabasy | 2-1 |
| Aug 23 | Yelimay… v Kyzyl-Z… | 2-0 |
FK Tobol Kosta…
8.0%
| Mar 20 | FK Tobo… v FC Asta… | 2-0 |
| Mar 16 | FK Tobo… v Zhetysu | 2-2 |
| Mar 07 | FK Tobo… v Aktobe | 4-1 |
| Oct 26 | FK Tobo… v Ulytau | 2-2 |
| Oct 19 | FK Tobo… v Zhetysu | 1-2 |
| Oct 04 | FK Tobo… v Ordabasy | 0-2 |
| Sep 28 | FK Tobo… v Kaisar | 1-0 |
| Sep 13 | FK Tobo… v Atyrau | 1-0 |
| Jun 21 | FK Tobo… v Zhetysu | 2-1 |
| Apr 13 | FK Tobo… v Zhetysu | 1-0 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
56%
Market
50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.