Premier League · Apr 04, 2026 13:00
Ordabasy
PWR 35
Atyrau
PWR 35
Ordabasy
PWR 35
4-1
predicted
Atyrau
PWR 35
61%
22%
17%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Ordabasy Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-0 (4%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
68%
68%
Under 2.5
32%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 61%
Over 3.5
34%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ordabasy
WWDDW
STABLE
Atyrau
DDDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 50% at home = very high riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (30.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.36
Ordabasyvs
0.99
AtyrauGoal Probability
Ordabasy
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Atyrau
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (11%)2-0 (10%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Ordabasy+8
Gap#9
Atyrau
WR 50% 7 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
Ordabasy
16.0%
| Mar 20 | Ordabasy v Kaisar | 2-0 |
| Mar 16 | Ordabasy v Zhetysu | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Ordabasy v Irtysh | 2-2 |
| Feb 05 | Ordabasy v Baltika | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Ordabasy v Shkëndi… | 1-0 |
| Jan 26 | Ordabasy v Septemv… | 1-2 |
| Oct 26 | Ordabasy v Aktobe | 2-2 |
| Oct 19 | Ordabasy v Okzhetp… | 7-1 |
| Oct 04 | Ordabasy v FK Tobo… | 0-2 |
| Sep 28 | Ordabasy v Yelimay… | 2-1 |
Atyrau
6.0%
| Mar 16 | Atyrau v Irtysh | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Atyrau v Ulytau | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Atyrau v Makhach… | 0-0 |
| Jan 30 | Atyrau v Wisla K… | 3-1 |
| Oct 26 | Atyrau v Yelimay… | 3-2 |
| Oct 18 | Atyrau v Zhetysu | 1-1 |
| Sep 27 | Atyrau v Ulytau | 1-5 |
| Sep 13 | Atyrau v FK Tobo… | 1-0 |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
76%
Market
50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ordabasy in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.