1st League - FBiH · Apr 01, 2026 17:00

Čelik
PWR 35

Sloboda Tuzla
PWR 35

Čelik
PWR 35
4-1
predicted

Sloboda Tuzla
PWR 35
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Čelik Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
50%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (22%)1-0 (20%)3-0 (15%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (5%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
88%
Home/Draw
1.19x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.96x
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Čelik
WDLWW
STABLE
Sloboda Tuzla
LWLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANT
Full data available (Tier 1)H2H: 2/3 draws (67%) = VERY HIGH riskElevated draw risk (23.3%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got STANDARD/2 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Čelikvs
0.22
Sloboda TuzlaGoal Probability
Čelik
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Sloboda Tuz…
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (17%)1-0 (15%)3-0 (12%)2-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Čelik+7
Gap#8
Sloboda Tuz…
WR 71% 33 pts
WR 29% 20 pts
Čelik
14.0%
| Mar 22 | Čelik v Tomislav | 1-2 |
| Mar 14 | Čelik v Travnik | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | Čelik v FK Sara… | 0-1 |
| Nov 16 | Čelik v GOŠK Ga… | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Čelik v Igman K… | 1-2 |
| Nov 02 | Čelik v Radnik … | 0-1 |
| Oct 29 | Čelik v Posušje | 1-0 |
| Oct 25 | Čelik v Tuzla C… | 5-0 |
| Oct 19 | Čelik v TOŠK Te… | 0-0 |
| Oct 11 | Čelik v Vitez | 3-1 |
Sloboda Tuzla
8.0%
| Mar 22 | Sloboda… v Radnik … | 2-3 |
| Mar 14 | Sloboda… v Tuzla C… | 0-1 |
| Nov 16 | Sloboda… v TOŠK Te… | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Sloboda… v Vitez | 3-1 |
| Nov 02 | Sloboda… v Jedinst… | 2-1 |
| Oct 29 | Sloboda… v Željezn… | 0-2 |
| Oct 26 | Sloboda… v Stupčan… | 0-1 |
| Oct 18 | Sloboda… v Bratstv… | 1-1 |
| Oct 11 | Sloboda… v Budućno… | 0-2 |
| Oct 05 | Sloboda… v Igman K… | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Sep 06, 2025 | Sloboda Tuzla | 1-1 | Čelik |
| May 18, 2024 | Sloboda Tuzla | 0-0 | Čelik |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Čelik | 1-0 | Sloboda Tuzla |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
74%
Market
67%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Čelik in strong form (3W in last 5)
Sloboda Tuzla struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.