Cearense - 2 · Apr 04, 2026 21:00
Crateús
PWR 35
Guaraní de Bagé
PWR 36
PWR 36
2-1
predicted
Crateús
PWR 35
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Guaraní de Bagé Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (20%)0-2 (14%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (11%)1-2 (8%)1-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
32%
Under 2.5
68%
68%
BTTS
No
No 33%
Over 3.5
3%
Team Comparison
35Attack0
52Defense100
Goals/G
1.00.0
Conc/G
1.40.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Guaraní de Bagé
LLDDL
DOWN
Crateús
DLWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.56
Guaraní de Bagévs
1.43
CrateúsGoal Probability
Guaraní de …
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Crateús
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (31%)0-1 (22%)1-0 (14%)1-1 (10%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Guaraní de …+8
Gap#13
Crateús
WR 18% 11 pts
WR 33% 4 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guaraní de Ba… | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 11 |
| Crateús | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Guaraní de Bagé
4.0%
| Mar 29 | Guaraní… v Caucaia | 0-1 |
| Mar 22 | Guaraní… v Crato | 1-0 |
| Mar 22 | Guaraní… v Uniclin… | 2-2 |
| Mar 15 | Guaraní… v Cariri | 0-0 |
| Mar 11 | Guaraní… v Ponte P… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Guaraní… v Monsoon | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Guaraní… v Avenida | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Guaraní… v Caxias | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Guaraní… v Inter S… | 0-1 |
| Feb 16 | Guaraní… v Inter S… | 3-2 |
Crateús
12.0%
| Mar 28 | Crateús v Uniclin… | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | Crateús v Itapipo… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Crateús v Caucaia | 1-4 |
| Aug 17 | Crateús v Guaraní… | 1-0 |
| Aug 09 | Crateús v Guaraní… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 17, 2025 | Crateús | 1-0 | Guaraní de Ba… |
| Aug 09, 2025 | Guaraní de Ba… | 0-0 | Crateús |
Decision Breakdown
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
37%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Guaraní de Bagé struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.